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Prediction markets for NEVS

Will any human who was never in a human womb reach 1 year of age before 2032?

Dec 12, 8:58 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

15.1%chance

513548

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1837

748

Will Democrats nominate someone who's never run for office before for president in 2028?

Feb 7, 8:07 PMSep 1, 4:59 AM

22.37%chance

232961

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1863

537

Will AI just plateau/stall and never reach full AGI/ASI level ?

Dec 21, 8:09 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

4.89%chance

191641

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1573

898

Will Kalshi win its lawsuit against Nevada?

Mar 31, 10:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

75.75%chance

91217

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1768

566

In which of the following Olympic events (in which the US has never medaled in) will the US first medal in?

Aug 8, 11:58 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

41006

OptionProbability

Rhythmic Gymanstics

Trampoline

Badminton

Table Tennis

Handball

28

26

23

19

4

never mind

Nov 30, 5:13 PMSep 10, 2:06 AM

6924

OptionProbability

mom

dad

you

(reiminder: pick one to die) (warning: if you pick this il treat it like you picked you)

me

43

43

9

3

2

Will the US Navy continue their streak of never having a nuclear accident at the end of 2026?

Jul 22, 11:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

95.41%chance

9370

OptionVotes

NO

YES

456

22

Will I still never get COVID though EOY 2025?

Sep 28, 7:20 AMSep 29, 3:59 AM

63.25%chance

13275

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1141

904

Federal land ownership in Nevada is below 80% any time through 2027

Sep 1, 9:20 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

6.63%chance

3237

OptionVotes

YES

NO

282

48

Will there be another bachelor (never married) President before 2050?

Nov 30, 3:07 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

28.87%chance

16222

OptionVotes

NO

YES

997

971

Conditional on Nevada voting No on Question 3 in 2024, what will turnout be in their next primary elections?

Dec 21, 7:44 AMDec 31, 8:00 PM

32.2%chance

497

OptionVotes

NO

YES

105

102

This market will never resolve.

Feb 5, 3:23 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

49.38%chance

1274

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

1000

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