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Prediction markets for NEVS

Will Kalshi win its lawsuit against Nevada?

Mar 31, 10:38 PMJun 1, 10:59 PM

22%chance

464713

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1883

531

Will Nevada Question 6 (Right to Abortion) pass in 2026?

Jan 31, 1:34 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

94.61%chance

134339

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4190

239

Will any human who was never in a human womb reach 1 year of age before 2032?

Dec 12, 8:58 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

15.1%chance

513548

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1837

748

Will Democrats nominate someone who's never run for office before for president in 2028?

Feb 7, 8:07 PMSep 1, 4:59 AM

19.61%chance

243123

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2025

494

Will AI just plateau/stall and never reach full AGI/ASI level ?

Dec 21, 8:09 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

5.21%chance

201646

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1479

903

Will Nevada Question 7 (Require Voter Identification) pass in 2026?

Feb 1, 3:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

79.87%chance

91164

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1992

502

never mind

Nov 30, 5:13 PMSep 10, 2:06 AM

6924

OptionProbability

mom

dad

you

(reiminder: pick one to die) (warning: if you pick this il treat it like you picked you)

me

43

43

9

3

2

Will there be another bachelor (never married) President before 2050?

Nov 30, 3:07 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

23.18%chance

18478

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1201

916

The President of the United States in February 2029 will be someone who never had held elected political office prior to 2023.

Dec 10, 6:00 AMFeb 1, 6:00 AM

15.61%chance

10263

OptionVotes

YES

NO

268

180

This market will never resolve.

Feb 5, 3:23 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

49.43%chance

14125

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1001

999

Does being smart and innovative require that AIs can never truly, deeply conform to social rules? [In development still]

Dec 22, 8:25 AMJan 2, 6:59 AM

65.02%chance

9125

OptionVotes

NO

YES

194

119

Which party will win the 2028 presidential election in Nevada?

Sep 7, 5:50 AMNov 7, 11:59 PM

321

OptionProbability

Democrats

Republicans

52

48

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