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Prediction markets for NEVS

[ACX 2026] Will the winner of the 2026 FIFA World Cup be a country that has never won before?

Jan 6, 10:57 PMJul 19, 11:59 PM

29.08%chance

6619117

OptionVotes

NO

YES

5777

2212

Will Kalshi win its lawsuit against Nevada?

Mar 31, 10:38 PMJun 1, 10:59 PM

17.37%chance

464640

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2181

459

Will any human who was never in a human womb reach 1 year of age before 2032?

Dec 12, 8:58 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

15.1%chance

513548

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1837

748

Will Democrats nominate someone who's never run for office before for president in 2028?

Feb 7, 8:07 PMSep 1, 4:59 AM

19.61%chance

243123

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2025

494

Will AI just plateau/stall and never reach full AGI/ASI level ?

Dec 21, 8:09 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

5.21%chance

201646

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1479

903

Will Nevada Question 6 (Right to Abortion) pass in 2026?

Jan 31, 1:34 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

84.23%chance

111601

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2311

433

Will Nevada Question 7 (Require Voter Identification) pass in 2026?

Feb 1, 3:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

79.43%chance

91147

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1965

509

never mind

Nov 30, 5:13 PMSep 10, 2:06 AM

6924

OptionProbability

mom

dad

you

(reiminder: pick one to die) (warning: if you pick this il treat it like you picked you)

me

43

43

9

3

2

Will there be another bachelor (never married) President before 2050?

Nov 30, 3:07 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

23.18%chance

18478

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1201

916

This market will never resolve.

Feb 5, 3:23 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

49.43%chance

14125

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1001

999

Will Gary Neville stand for any publicly elected position before 2030?

Mar 5, 12:23 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

41.4%chance

9115

OptionVotes

YES

NO

117

60

[poll/stock - never resolves] How do Americans view Donald Trump’s political rhetoric (independent of politics)?

Dec 29, 7:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

211

OptionProbability

Negative

Positive

Agnostic/Neutral

45

28

28

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