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New Democracy News
Prediction markets for New Democracy
Prediction markets for New Democracy
Will the majority of Western democracies cease to be de facto democratic by 2034?
Jun 11, 5:42 AM
Mar 1, 12:59 PM
6.31%
chance
90
6445
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1978
1525
Will Iran become a democracy by the end of 2040?
Jun 3, 9:34 AM
Jan 1, 10:59 PM
41.23%
chance
26
1358
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1194
838
CDA overtakes VVD at 2025 Dutch Elections
Jun 23, 8:55 AM
Dec 30, 11:59 PM
69.23%
chance
5
269
Option
Votes
NO
YES
150
67
Will sortition be used as an alternative to elections for any administrative division of EU/US government before 2060?
Aug 28, 12:20 PM
Jan 1, 10:59 PM
76.93%
chance
10
268
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1075
960
Will sortition be used as an alternative to elections for selecting national governments in EU or US before 2060?
Aug 28, 8:18 PM
Jan 1, 10:59 PM
12.51%
chance
3
191
Option
Votes
YES
NO
199
77
Will any European Country make a transition to an exclusive democracy by 2039 (Rare event market)
Feb 27, 10:06 PM
Jan 1, 9:59 PM
65%
chance
4
145
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1108
924
Will approval voting, quadratic funding, liquid democracy, etc, get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?
Oct 29, 3:04 AM
Jan 2, 6:59 AM
36.25%
chance
6
120
Option
Votes
YES
NO
318
145
Greece holds elections before October?
Jun 29, 10:12 AM
Sep 30, 11:59 PM
32.48%
chance
4
96
Option
Votes
YES
NO
144
69
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