New Market Capital News

1. Anthropic will go public. OpenAI will not.

Dec 28, 11:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

72%chance

4512897

OptionVotes

YES

1605

624

Will Marc Andreessen start a new company (not an investment firm) by 2026?

Dec 6, 11:57 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

2.23%chance

87880

OptionVotes

YES

6615

151

7. Sam Altman will step aside as CEO of OpenAI.

Dec 28, 11:31 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7.04%chance

264557

OptionVotes

YES

3638

276

Will the S&P/NZX 50 exceed 13,000 at the end of 2026?

Apr 23, 3:09 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

84364

OptionProbability

Will the S&P/NZX 50 exceed 12,500.00 at Dec 31 Market close?

Will the S&P/NZX 50 exceed 13,000.00 at Dec 31 Market close?

Will the S&P/NZX 50 exceed 13,250.00 at Dec 31 Market close?

Will the S&P/NZX 50 exceed 13,500.00 at Dec 31 Market close?

Will the S&P/NZX 50 exceed 14,000.00 at Dec 31 Market close?

10. Brain-computer interfaces transition to mainstream technology, Neuralink position in lead shakier [See full title!]

Dec 28, 11:39 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.89%chance

253805

OptionVotes

YES

1088

922

2030 – 5. AI-driven job loss will be one of the most widely discussed political and social issues.

Mar 11, 12:09 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

75.68%chance

173564

OptionVotes

YES

1159

926

2030 – 1. Nvidia’s market capitalization will be meaningfully lower + Intel’s will be meaningfully higher, than today

Mar 11, 12:04 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

15.88%chance

233212

OptionVotes

YES

1925

695

2030 – 3. Over one hundred thousand humanoid robots will be deployed in the real world.

Mar 11, 12:08 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

79.08%chance

382747

OptionVotes

YES

1720

680

Largest company end of 2028?

Jun 7, 3:20 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

232020

OptionProbability

Nvidia

Alphabet

Apple

Anthropic

OpenAI

Microsoft

SpaceX

Amazon

Samsung

Other

TSMC

Will Manifold implement "resolves-to-multiple" Multiple Choice markets before 2027?

Nov 1, 2:44 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

17.06%chance

41271

OptionVotes

YES

2205

453

2030 – 2. We interact with a wide range of AIs in our daily lives as naturally as we interact with other humans today

Mar 11, 12:07 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

88.83%chance

141045

OptionVotes

YES

1519

876

Will Venezuela continue submissive to american demands in 2026?

Jan 14, 11:47 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

91.5%chance

11428

OptionVotes

YES

328

New Market Capital News

Prediction markets for New Market Capital

Prediction markets for New Market Capital

Prediction markets for New Market Capital

1. Anthropic will go public. OpenAI will not.

Will Marc Andreessen start a new company (not an investment firm) by 2026?

7. Sam Altman will step aside as CEO of OpenAI.

Will the S&P/NZX 50 exceed 13,000 at the end of 2026?

10. Brain-computer interfaces transition to mainstream technology, Neuralink position in lead shakier [See full title!]

2030 – 5. AI-driven job loss will be one of the most widely discussed political and social issues.

2030 – 1. Nvidia’s market capitalization will be meaningfully lower + Intel’s will be meaningfully higher, than today

2030 – 3. Over one hundred thousand humanoid robots will be deployed in the real world.

Largest company end of 2028?

Will Manifold implement "resolves-to-multiple" Multiple Choice markets before 2027?

2030 – 2. We interact with a wide range of AIs in our daily lives as naturally as we interact with other humans today

Will Venezuela continue submissive to american demands in 2026?

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