OptionVotes
NO
YES
1375
727
280
36
OptionProbability
US or Israel attacks Pickaxe Mountain before Dec 15, 2026
Will Iran hit a hyperscaler data center in the Gulf before 2027?
Will US/Israeli strikes cause a nationwide or multi-province power blackout in Iran lasting at least 24 hours before 2027?
Will all Iran–Iraq land border crossings close to commercial freight simultaneously for 48+ hours before Dec 31, 2026?
43
30
18
17
122
82
80
62
