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Prediction markets for New Mountain

Will Zijin produce 2,000+ tonnes of tungsten in FY2029?

Mar 21, 12:10 AMJun 30, 4:00 AM

65.4%chance

74129

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1375

727

Where will I pay state taxes in 2026?

Feb 28, 7:04 AMJan 2, 11:59 PM

2262

OptionProbability

California

Other

Arizona

Nevada

New York

Pennsylvania

Texas

Washington

47

17

6

6

6

6

6

6

Will Jose Luis Ricon ever get HIGHER than the EMPIRE STATE?

May 19, 9:59 PMMay 19, 9:59 PM

88.69%chance

2180

OptionVotes

NO

YES

280

36

Will anyone summit Dhaulagiri in the fall 2026 climbing season?

Sep 21, 7:56 PMDec 1, 11:59 PM

12.13%chance

2169

OptionVotes

YES

NO

269

37

Is Jose Luis Ricon FUNNIER than JOSCHA BACH, jose luis ricon, razib khan, @repligate/janus , alexey guzey, qiaochu yuan?

May 2, 4:30 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

40.19%chance

122

OptionVotes

YES

NO

122

82

Will thick-billed parrots be breeding in the wild in the US by 2040.

Sep 24, 3:04 PMDec 2, 4:59 AM

59.02%chance

110

OptionVotes

NO

YES

80

62

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