New Oriental News

2030 – 5. AI-driven job loss will be one of the most widely discussed political and social issues.

Mar 11, 12:09 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

71.93%chance

163414

OptionVotes

YES

1009

979

Which project will become the next web? (ie, replacing http/html/js)

Nov 20, 12:03 AMApr 4, 11:59 AM

243255

OptionProbability

The web will not substantially improve before 2032

WeChat

Appflowy

Agregore Browser

There wont be one next web. Web browsers of the future will run many protocols, competently, which are fairly well integrated, and for which there is no obvious general purpose winner

Orca Sandbox or something derived from it

The current web will reform before a transition can occur

Ad4m

Brave Browser

Replit

Something from Epic Games

Anytype

Logseq

Horizon Worlds

Modular Web

Playbit

VRChat

Discord

Flutter

Welkin

Gopher

Fuchsia OS

The Zed editor

emacs

World App (the one with the orbs)

X.com

roblox

Will OpenAI make significant changes OR discontinue Sora due to "long-term user satisfaction," two years after launch?

Oct 1, 6:00 PMSep 30, 5:51 PM

8735

OptionProbability

OpenAI makes significant changes to Sora

OpenAI discontinues Sora

Will AI systems and humans merge to create Cyborgs which are also the primary way that most humans live, this century?

Mar 24, 9:30 AMJan 1, 6:29 AM

59.37%chance

15591

OptionVotes

YES

1123

765

3. China’s AI chip sector make significant strides, planting seeds for eventual decline on Nvidia [See full title!]

Dec 28, 11:24 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

63.96%chance

8548

OptionVotes

YES

1334

752

Will Democrats (2028 Election) pivot to pro-growth Abundance Policies (Ezra Klein + Derek Thompson) 🇺🇸🦾🤑🦅🏗️🏛️

Mar 6, 3:41 AMNov 30, 12:59 PM

47.29%chance

9169

OptionVotes

YES

106

AI creates more jobs than it eliminates worldwide by 2030?

Jun 26, 9:43 AMDec 31, 9:41 AM

30%chance

9162

OptionVotes

YES

153

Will Crypton Future Media announce a singing synth voicebank for software made by another company by the end of 2026?

Jan 4, 6:35 AMJan 2, 6:59 AM

75.58%chance

588

OptionVotes

YES

170

Will my new Zowie mouse survive five years?

Jun 28, 8:07 PMJun 28, 9:59 PM

45.88%chance

679

OptionVotes

YES

512

490

Taiwan 2028 Long Range Market: Will the NPP win any seats in the 2028 Legislative elections?

Jan 14, 4:29 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

38.69%chance

317

OptionVotes

YES

102

New Oriental News

Prediction markets for New Oriental

Prediction markets for New Oriental

Prediction markets for New Oriental

2030 – 5. AI-driven job loss will be one of the most widely discussed political and social issues.

Which project will become the next web? (ie, replacing http/html/js)

Will OpenAI make significant changes OR discontinue Sora due to "long-term user satisfaction," two years after launch?

Will AI systems and humans merge to create Cyborgs which are also the primary way that most humans live, this century?

3. China’s AI chip sector make significant strides, planting seeds for eventual decline on Nvidia [See full title!]

Will Democrats (2028 Election) pivot to pro-growth Abundance Policies (Ezra Klein + Derek Thompson) 🇺🇸🦾🤑🦅🏗️🏛️

AI creates more jobs than it eliminates worldwide by 2030?

Will Crypton Future Media announce a singing synth voicebank for software made by another company by the end of 2026?

Will my new Zowie mouse survive five years?

Taiwan 2028 Long Range Market: Will the NPP win any seats in the 2028 Legislative elections?

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