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New Space News

Instant deepfakes of anyone (doing anything) by the end of 2027?

Dec 7, 10:12 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

78.04%chance

508725007

OptionVotes

YES

NO

16811

12177

Will New Glenn (Blue Origin) reach Mars before Starship/Falcon (SpaceX)

Nov 24, 12:08 AMDec 28, 12:59 PM

86%chance

8222365

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2402

456

Which of these people will speak at Voliti Co’s Predict 2026 (predict2026.org)?

Aug 27, 10:44 PMDec 10, 11:59 PM

1616734

OptionProbability

Stephen Grugett, Manifold and MNX

Tarek Mansour, Kalshi

Luana Lopes Lara, Kalshi

Shayne Coplan, Polymarket

Michael S. Selig, Chairman of the CFTC

Terry Duffy, CME

92

70

46

27

12

10

Earliest date we will see credible claims that a new space data center is cheaper than its terrestrial counterpart?

Feb 5, 7:25 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

1615237

OptionProbability

2030-2031

2032-2033

2034-2035

2028-2029

2036-2037

>= 2046

2038-2039

2040-2041

2042-2043

2027

2044-2045

2026

16

16

16

10

9

9

5

5

5

4

4

2

Will the CCRC refer Lucy Letby's case to the Court of Appeal?

Sep 9, 7:51 AMAug 27, 10:59 PM

30%chance

2312072

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1529

655

Will SpaceX catch Ship before New Glenn RTF?

Jun 21, 2:13 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

80.1%chance

161215

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2006

498

Will evidence of an extraterrestrial civilization be discovered by the year 2100?

Jul 3, 7:01 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

33.79%chance

111151

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1400

714

Will the Lazuli telescope see first light before 2030?

Jan 8, 7:39 PMDec 31, 7:00 PM

44.83%chance

7696

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1109

901

Will China fly people to the moon before Chinese New Year 2028?

Jun 5, 12:15 AMFeb 29, 11:59 PM

34.58%chance

12540

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1375

727

Will Spaceballs: The New One release on April 23, 2027?

Apr 16, 12:44 PMApr 23, 11:59 PM

67.02%chance

4480

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1426

701

Will SpaceX come up with new ways to send stuff into space that do not involve rockets by the end of 2030?

Aug 6, 6:22 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

11.43%chance

12305

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1217

944

Will a SpaceX rocket be launched from Australia or New Zealand by the end of 2028?

Sep 28, 5:00 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

17.58%chance

3194

OptionVotes

YES

NO

216

46

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