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Prediction markets for New Street

Will Trump balance the U.S. budget before his term ends?

Feb 7, 9:09 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM

2.63%chance

7429608

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6082

164

Will the S&P 500 close above 7883.34 on December 31, 2026?

Jan 6, 2:50 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

52%chance

3720977

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1041

961

Will the UK HS2 rail line between London and Birmingham be operational before 2031?

Feb 16, 9:15 AMJan 1, 12:00 AM

5.22%chance

2411283

OptionVotes

YES

NO

11978

1115

Will the Trump administration militarize New York City before the 2026 Midterms?

Sep 3, 7:20 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM

9.99%chance

216210

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3004

333

Will the AI bubble pop before 2028?

Feb 12, 8:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

35.99%chance

363347

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1334

750

Will Sam Altman file a case against anthropic in next 3 months?

May 9, 11:26 PMAug 9, 11:25 PM

5.55%chance

93125

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4125

242

Will Trump announce before the midterms that US is pulling out of NATO?

Jan 19, 9:56 PMNov 2, 11:59 PM

12.88%chance

162540

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2601

385

Will someone I've met be elected President in either 2028 or 2032?

Jan 28, 4:09 PMJan 16, 4:59 AM

61.68%chance

492390

OptionVotes

NO

YES

5270

1565

By Jan 2027, will AI independently run 3 successful companies that would've previously needed programmers?

Jun 16, 8:47 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

17.16%chance

221493

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1009

826

Will Eric Swalwell be behind bars on Election Day 2028?

Apr 12, 8:55 PMNov 7, 11:59 PM

13.68%chance

18625

OptionVotes

YES

NO

871

395

US Patent System gets a price hike by 2026?

Aug 7, 9:01 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

42.31%chance

6268

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1168

856

Rippling wins its lawsuit against Deel by 2028?

May 12, 5:33 PMJan 1, 6:33 PM

52.98%chance

5183

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1061

942

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