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Prediction markets for New Street
What 2+ word phrases will appear unbroken in a front-page NYT headline before 2026? [ADD RESPONSES]
Feb 28, 8:03 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
15951112
OptionProbability
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
96
84
83
83
82
82
80
79
79
78
77
77
77
76
76
76
75
74
73
72
72
71
71
70
70
69
69
69
69
66
65
65
64
64
64
62
62
62
61
57
57
55
55
52
50
50
50
49
48
46
46
45
45
45
45
45
44
44
44
42
40
37
37
36
35
32
32
31
29
28
27
27
27
23
22
19
18
18
17
16
16
14
14
12
12
11
11
10
10
10
8
8
7
7
7
6
5
4
3
3
3
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
Will Trump balance the U.S. budget before his term ends?
Feb 7, 9:09 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM
4.28%chance
6819633
OptionVotes
4730
211
OptionVotes
22785
9667
Will the UK HS2 rail line between London and Birmingham be operational before 2031?
Feb 16, 9:15 AMJan 1, 12:00 AM
5.26%chance
2411233
OptionVotes
11928
1118
OptionVotes
2587
387
OptionProbability
91
89
74
72
70
70
68
65
64
63
63
63
63
61
60
60
59
54
50
50
50
43
41
40
40
40
40
36
32
32
32
30
Will there be an attempted physical assault on anyone working for DOGE?
Feb 3, 5:40 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
22.9%chance
494089
OptionVotes
1835
545
Will someone I've met be elected President in either 2028 or 2032?
Jan 28, 4:09 PMJan 16, 4:59 AM
61.64%chance
482387
OptionVotes
5267
1567
By Jan 2027, will AI independently run 3 successful companies that would've previously needed programmers?
Jun 16, 8:47 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM
11.4%chance
181414
OptionVotes
1241
941
OptionProbability
78
60
58
55
55
54
53
52
52
50
50
44
38
10
8
OptionVotes
1061
942
Images assumed to be deepfakes/AI-generated unless proven otherwise before 2030
Jun 13, 11:03 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM
51.07%chance
5117
OptionVotes
96
82