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Prediction markets for New York City

Will the Trump administration militarize New York City before the 2026 Midterms?

Sep 3, 7:20 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM

14.6%chance

215293

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2420

414

Will Tesla be the first to provide robotaxis in New York City?

Jan 15, 8:40 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

6.82%chance

455079

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1988

872

In New York City, on what day will the highest temperature of February 2026 be recorded?

Jan 22, 12:41 AMFeb 28, 11:59 PM

43193

OptionProbability

11th

12th

13th

19th

20th

21st

22nd

23rd

26th

28th

2nd

10th

14th

15th

16th

17th

18th

24th

25th

27th

5th

6th

7th

8th

9th

1st

3rd

4th

8

8

8

7

7

7

7

7

7

6

5

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

3

3

3

3

3

0

0

0

Will Waymo be the first to provide robotaxis in New York City?

Jan 23, 8:03 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

82.21%chance

432223

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1435

864

Will New York City still be in a legally declared rental housing emergency by April 1, 2027?

Feb 4, 6:08 PMApr 2, 3:59 AM

75.4%chance

61391

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1751

571

When will the Interborough Express (IBX) in New York City open for passenger service?

Jan 28, 7:40 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

5439

OptionProbability

2031 or later

2029

2030

2028

2023

2024

2025

2026

2027

90

4

3

2

0

0

0

0

0

Will New York City's population be at least as high in 2030 as it was in 2020?

Oct 7, 12:33 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50.97%chance

16382

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1005

970

Who will win the 2029 Democratic primary for New York City mayor?

Jan 1, 3:24 AMJun 24, 11:59 AM

4266

OptionProbability

Zohran Mamdani

Other

79

21

Will New York City still be in a legally declared rental housing emergency by April 1, 2036?

Feb 4, 6:51 PMApr 2, 3:59 AM

40.98%chance

2200

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1200

833

Will Dubai have more skyscrapers than New York City in February 2030?

Sep 4, 12:04 AMFeb 3, 11:59 PM

54.26%chance

5118

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1036

954

Will New York City still be in a legally declared rental housing emergency by April 1, 2030?

Feb 4, 6:49 PMApr 2, 3:59 AM

45.52%chance

3105

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1094

914

Will New York City still be in a legally declared rental housing emergency by April 1, 2033?

Feb 4, 6:50 PMApr 2, 3:59 AM

45.25%chance

2100

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1100

909

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