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Prediction markets for New York City Democrats

Will Andrew Yang be elected to any major US political office before 2030?

Dec 16, 6:26 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

11.97%chance

152709

OptionVotes

NO

YES

940

722

Will someone I've met be elected President in either 2028 or 2032?

Jan 28, 4:09 PMJan 16, 4:59 AM

61.64%chance

482387

OptionVotes

NO

YES

5267

1567

Eric Adams no longer identifies as a Democrat by December 31, 2025

Apr 12, 8:08 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

67%chance

232093

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1425

702

Who will win the 2029 New York City Democratic mayoral primary?

Jun 25, 1:40 AMJun 24, 10:59 PM

171198

OptionProbability

Zohran Mamdani

No one

Andrew Yang

Brad Lander

Andrew Cuomo

63

13

4

4

3

Will one of the top two candidates in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Election be an independent/third-party candidate?

May 16, 2:42 AMNov 30, 11:59 PM

82.57%chance

201101

OptionVotes

NO

YES

218

46

Zohran Mamdani wins NYC Mayoral general election mandate (50%)?

Jul 12, 2:59 PMNov 4, 11:59 PM

49.73%chance

15850

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1005

995

What will Trump give Zohran Mamdani for his nickname?

Jun 26, 7:07 PMDec 31, 6:56 PM

20544

OptionProbability

Other

Commie Mamdani

Dumdani/Dumbdani

Little Muhammad

My best friend!

Radical Mamdani

Socialist Zohran

Commie Zohran

Leftist Mamdani

Muslim Mamdani

Little Zohran

Pocahontas Mamdani

53

13

10

6

5

3

2

2

2

1

1

1

Eric Adams runs as Republican in 2025 New York mayoral election?

Jun 27, 7:18 AMNov 4, 11:59 PM

4.46%chance

11517

OptionVotes

YES

NO

463

22

Will Zohran Mamdani go on Joe Rogan in 2025?

Jul 28, 11:16 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

17.92%chance

9217

OptionVotes

YES

NO

214

47

NYC government-run grocery stores exist on January 1, 2030?

Jun 25, 3:15 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

40%chance

7207

OptionVotes

YES

NO

122

82

Who would you rank #2 for NYC Mayor Democratic Primary Ballot?

Jun 14, 12:43 AM

120

Who would you rank #1 for NYC Mayor Democratic Primary Ballot?

Jun 13, 3:38 PM

260

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