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Prediction markets for New York District Court

What US charges will Nicolás Maduro be found guilty of?

Jan 4, 5:59 PMJan 5, 5:48 PM

15694

OptionProbability

Narco-Terrorism Conspiracy

Cocaine Importation Conspiracy

Possession of Machineguns and Destructive Devices

Conspiracy to Possess Machineguns and Destructive Devices

61

51

49

46

Will Nicolás Maduro be convicted in a U.S. federal court before January 1, 2027?

Jan 15, 12:08 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7.87%chance

15493

OptionVotes

YES

NO

342

29

Will credible evidence emerge before 2027 that Meta can access the content of WhatsApp messages despite end-to-end encry

Jan 27, 10:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15.06%chance

12284

OptionVotes

YES

NO

237

42

Will Maduro comeback to Venezuela?

Sep 12, 6:34 AMJan 31, 11:59 PM

3.54%chance

4212

OptionVotes

YES

NO

271

90

Rippling wins its lawsuit against Deel by 2028?

May 12, 5:33 PMJan 1, 6:33 PM

52.98%chance

5183

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1061

942

What will be the outcome of the EEOC suit against the NYT?

May 11, 6:49 PMDec 31, 6:43 PM

3170

OptionProbability

Settles out of court

NYT wins

EEOC wins

47

28

25

Will the Spanish ex-president José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be tried because of his involvement with Maduro’s government?

Jan 22, 5:20 AMJan 30, 11:59 PM

34.52%chance

9163

OptionVotes

YES

NO

138

73

Will Gannon Ken Van Dyke be convicted?

Apr 24, 2:11 PMOct 24, 1:59 PM

83.23%chance

6143

OptionVotes

NO

YES

119

96

Will Michele Spagnuolo be convicted

May 28, 1:27 PMMay 1, 1:22 PM

66.27%chance

8109

OptionVotes

NO

YES

140

71

Will a federal court block a major state AI law before 2027?

Aug 11, 1:35 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40.98%chance

480

OptionVotes

YES

NO

120

83

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