New York Federal Court News

Which Russian regions will hold referendums and declare independence from the Russian Federation by 2040?

Oct 17, 10:23 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

125404

OptionProbability

Tuva

Ingria

Chechnya (Ichkeria)

Zaporozhye (Zaporizhzhia) Oblast

Bashkortostan

Tatarstan

Udmurtia

Chuvashia

Sakha (Yakutia)

Karelia

Kaliningrad (Königsberg)

Dagestan

Buryatia

Trump orders active duty military to NYC by end of 2026?

Nov 5, 11:13 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8.83%chance

144938

OptionVotes

YES

3213

311

Will Luigi Mangione plead guilty for the shooting of UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson

Feb 5, 5:53 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

99%chance

231592

OptionVotes

YES

753

Will Prediction Markets be banned in the US before 31 December, 2026?

Feb 15, 11:44 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

3%chance

241568

OptionVotes

YES

569

What US charges will Nicolás Maduro be found guilty of?

Jan 4, 5:59 PMJan 5, 5:48 PM

17752

OptionProbability

Narco-Terrorism Conspiracy

Cocaine Importation Conspiracy

Possession of Machineguns and Destructive Devices

Conspiracy to Possess Machineguns and Destructive Devices

Will Nicolás Maduro be convicted in a U.S. federal court before January 1, 2027?

Jan 15, 12:08 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2.83%chance

16745

OptionVotes

YES

586

Which of the following lawsuits will prevail against OpenAI?

Dec 8, 4:01 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

14560

OptionProbability

[Consumer Privacy] A.T. v. OpenAI LP (N.D. Cal. 2023)

[Copyright] Authors Guild v. OpenAI Inc. (S.D.N.Y. 2023)

[Copyright] Sancton v. OpenAI Inc. (S.D.N.Y. 2023)

[Copyright] Chabon v. OpenAI, Inc. (N.D. Cal. 2023)

[Copyright] Silverman v. OpenAI, Inc. (N.D. Cal. 2023)

[Libel] Walters v. OpenAI, L.L.C. (Ga. Super. Ct. 2023)

[Copyright] P.M. v. OpenAI LP (N.D. Cal. 2023)

Will Maduro comeback to Venezuela?

Sep 12, 6:34 AMJan 31, 11:59 PM

5.94%chance

5217

OptionVotes

YES

166

Will Gannon Ken Van Dyke be convicted?

Apr 24, 2:11 PMOct 24, 1:59 PM

83.23%chance

6143

OptionVotes

YES

119

Will Michele Spagnuolo be convicted

May 28, 1:27 PMMay 1, 1:22 PM

66.27%chance

8109

OptionVotes

YES

140

Will a federal court block a major state AI law before 2027?

Aug 11, 1:35 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40.98%chance

480

OptionVotes

YES

120

Will Bill Gates go to prison before 2050?

Oct 3, 9:33 PMDec 31, 11:00 AM

8.21%chance

345

OptionVotes

YES

145

New York Federal Court News

Prediction markets for New York Federal Court

Prediction markets for New York Federal Court

Prediction markets for New York Federal Court

Which Russian regions will hold referendums and declare independence from the Russian Federation by 2040?

Trump orders active duty military to NYC by end of 2026?

Will Luigi Mangione plead guilty for the shooting of UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson

Will Prediction Markets be banned in the US before 31 December, 2026?

What US charges will Nicolás Maduro be found guilty of?

Will Nicolás Maduro be convicted in a U.S. federal court before January 1, 2027?

Which of the following lawsuits will prevail against OpenAI?

Will Maduro comeback to Venezuela?

Will Gannon Ken Van Dyke be convicted?

Will Michele Spagnuolo be convicted

Will a federal court block a major state AI law before 2027?

Will Bill Gates go to prison before 2050?

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