New York Federal Court News

Trump orders active duty military to NYC by end of 2026?

Nov 5, 11:13 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10.29%chance

134678

OptionVotes

YES

2953

339

Which Russian regions will hold referendums and declare independence from the Russian Federation by 2040?

Oct 17, 10:23 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

113151

OptionProbability

Tuva

Ingria

Chechnya (Ichkeria)

Zaporozhye (Zaporizhzhia) Oblast

Kaliningrad (Königsberg)

Bashkortostan

Tatarstan

Udmurtia

Chuvashia

Sakha (Yakutia)

Karelia

Dagestan

Buryatia

Will Luigi Mangione plead guilty for the shooting of UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson

Feb 5, 5:53 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

99%chance

231592

OptionVotes

YES

753

Will Prediction Markets be banned in the US before 31 December, 2026?

Feb 15, 11:44 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

5.43%chance

201045

OptionVotes

YES

417

What US charges will Nicolás Maduro be found guilty of?

Jan 4, 5:59 PMJan 5, 5:48 PM

15694

OptionProbability

Narco-Terrorism Conspiracy

Cocaine Importation Conspiracy

Possession of Machineguns and Destructive Devices

Conspiracy to Possess Machineguns and Destructive Devices

Will Nicolás Maduro be convicted in a U.S. federal court before January 1, 2027?

Jan 15, 12:08 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7.87%chance

15493

OptionVotes

YES

342

Which of the following lawsuits will prevail against OpenAI?

Dec 8, 4:01 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

13348

OptionProbability

[Consumer Privacy] A.T. v. OpenAI LP (N.D. Cal. 2023)

[Copyright] Authors Guild v. OpenAI Inc. (S.D.N.Y. 2023)

[Copyright] Sancton v. OpenAI Inc. (S.D.N.Y. 2023)

[Copyright] Chabon v. OpenAI, Inc. (N.D. Cal. 2023)

[Copyright] Silverman v. OpenAI, Inc. (N.D. Cal. 2023)

[Libel] Walters v. OpenAI, L.L.C. (Ga. Super. Ct. 2023)

[Copyright] P.M. v. OpenAI LP (N.D. Cal. 2023)

Will Maduro comeback to Venezuela?

Sep 12, 6:34 AMJan 31, 11:59 PM

3.54%chance

4212

OptionVotes

YES

271

Will Gannon Ken Van Dyke be convicted?

Apr 24, 2:11 PMOct 24, 1:59 PM

83.23%chance

6143

OptionVotes

YES

119

Will Michele Spagnuolo be convicted

May 28, 1:27 PMMay 1, 1:22 PM

66.27%chance

8109

OptionVotes

YES

140

Will a federal court block a major state AI law before 2027?

Aug 11, 1:35 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40.98%chance

480

OptionVotes

YES

120

New York Federal Court News

Prediction markets for New York Federal Court

Prediction markets for New York Federal Court

Prediction markets for New York Federal Court

Trump orders active duty military to NYC by end of 2026?

Which Russian regions will hold referendums and declare independence from the Russian Federation by 2040?

Will Luigi Mangione plead guilty for the shooting of UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson

Will Prediction Markets be banned in the US before 31 December, 2026?

What US charges will Nicolás Maduro be found guilty of?

Will Nicolás Maduro be convicted in a U.S. federal court before January 1, 2027?

Which of the following lawsuits will prevail against OpenAI?

Will Maduro comeback to Venezuela?

Will Gannon Ken Van Dyke be convicted?

Will Michele Spagnuolo be convicted

Will a federal court block a major state AI law before 2027?

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