OptionVotes
YES
NO
436
23
OptionProbability
Any arrests where criminal/suspect references Mangione or the case
Luigi Mangione makes or releases statement to the public
Pro-Mangione fan club assembles outside courthouse or at trial
A public figure calls for the death penalty
Government seeks the death penalty
Defense formally alleges evidence tampering or planting of evidence
Defense files motion to suppress evidence
Gag order imposed on case participants
Nancy Grace call for Mangione’s conviction
Prosecution seeks additional charges other than those in the orginal indictment
Mangione's legal team files for dismissal of charges with prejudice
Prosecution alleges additional victims or attempted crimes
Defense claims insufficient evidence for probable cause
Prosecution seeks to introduce evidence of prior bad acts
Defense claims violation of Miranda rights
Competency evaluation is sought by the defense
Expert witnesses publicly dispute evidence validity
Suspect makes a confession there is made public in court documents
We learn that, at some point in time, Mangione received inpatient psych treatment
Defense requests change in venue
Mangione assaulted while in custody
Court grants competency evaluation
Anyone else charged in connection with Brian Thompson’s murder
Any member of Congress expresses specific support for Luigi Mangione (e.g. calling him a hero, saying he should not be convicted, etc)
Mangione reported to be in a new relationship
Defense granted a change in venue outside of Manhattan
Mangione attempts suicide
Prosecution offers plea deal that becomes public
Case does not go to trial as a result of a plea
Bail hearing results in release with monitoring
Mangione is found incompetent to stand trial at some point
100
78
53
52
50
48
45
31
27
25
22
20
18
14
11