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Prediction markets for New York Times Company

What will be the sum of OpenAI, Anthropic, and xAI's publicly reported annualized revenues by December 31st 2025?

Dec 5, 2:46 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

4276707

OptionProbability

>$25B

$20.1-25B

$15.1-17.5B

$17.6-20B

<$5B

$5-10B

$10.1-12.5B

$12.6-15B

84

8

2

2

1

1

1

1

Will there be a billion-dollar company with only one person by 2040?

Jul 3, 1:46 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

34.98%chance

392423

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1363

733

Kendi/DiAngelo school of DEI widely repudiated as racist OR paranoid in USA before 2040.

Jul 13, 1:16 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

76.19%chance

191852

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1010

851

By Jan 2027, will AI independently run 3 successful companies that would've previously needed programmers?

Jun 16, 8:47 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

11.4%chance

181414

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1241

941

TikTok sale announced before 2026?

Jul 9, 7:52 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

43.45%chance

10723

OptionVotes

YES

NO

114

88

Will the New York Times stop selling printed weekday editions in retail stores by the end of 2025?

Jul 27, 11:04 PMJan 15, 10:59 PM

3.72%chance

3407

OptionVotes

YES

NO

473

33

Will Elon Musk buy a significant share (>5%) of the New York Times in the next 5 years?

Apr 8, 2:39 AMApr 8, 4:59 AM

7.89%chance

18280

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1232

967

The New York Times will have an article mentioning Herasight by the end of:

Aug 4, 3:49 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6145

OptionProbability

December 2026

September 2026

March 2026

June 2026

December 2025

September 2025

83

82

66

66

24

15

Will the New York Times v. OpenAI suit cause a setback for AI safety?

Dec 30, 5:44 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

16%chance

4122

OptionVotes

YES

NO

171

82

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