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Prediction markets for News Corp

Will the Trump administration militarize Chicago before the 2026 Midterms?

Sep 3, 7:22 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM

10.16%chance

287031

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2975

337

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be Iran’s supreme leader on 1 January 2027?

Mar 11, 3:15 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

59.15%chance

286282

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1203

831

Will the Trump administration militarize New York City before the 2026 Midterms?

Sep 3, 7:20 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM

9.6%chance

215943

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3070

326

Will the Trump administration militarize Baltimore before the 2026 Midterms?

Sep 4, 12:27 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM

11.1%chance

293650

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2832

354

Will the Trump administration militarize Los Angeles again before the 2026 Midterms?

Sep 3, 7:19 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM

13.87%chance

91968

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2492

401

Who will campaign for Graham Platner?

May 3, 2:50 AMDec 31, 1:46 AM

41060

OptionProbability

Alexandria Ocasio Cortez

Janet Mills

Chellie Pingree

Anyone who has ever been elected to public office as a Republican?

Pete Buttigieg

Any Other Senate Democratic Nominee for 2026

Kamala Harris

Gavin Newsom

Jared Golden

JB Pritzker

Hasan Piker

Zohran Mamdani

Josh Shapiro

Barack Obama

66

59

55

50

41

37

28

20

20

20

20

16

14

10

Civil War in Iran in 2026?

Jan 13, 1:35 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

20.66%chance

20433

OptionVotes

YES

NO

196

51

Will Iran still be charging tolls in the strait of hermuz on January 1st, 2027?

Apr 3, 7:40 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM

39.52%chance

12416

OptionVotes

YES

NO

384

324

Will Iranian Minister of Interior Eskandar Momeni still be alive by June 1st 2026?

Mar 21, 5:30 PMMay 31, 11:59 PM

88.98%chance

12342

OptionVotes

NO

YES

284

35

Who will win the 2026 election for California's 38th State Senate district

Jun 4, 3:00 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3190

OptionProbability

Catherine Blakespear (Democratic, Incumbent)

Other

82

18

Conditional on complete oil & gas sector destruction: would the iranian regime collapse within 5 years?

Jun 21, 8:56 PMJun 21, 8:54 PM

62.81%chance

585

OptionVotes

NO

YES

130

77

Will there be a new TRIUMPH OF THE WILL -like film centered on MAGA/Trump by EOY2028?

Jan 20, 9:02 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

42.87%chance

332

OptionVotes

YES

NO

115

87

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