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Prediction markets for News Corp

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be Iran’s supreme leader on 1 January 2027?

Mar 11, 3:15 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

74.91%chance

348180

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1728

579

Will the Trump administration militarize Chicago before the 2026 Midterms?

Sep 3, 7:22 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM

10.16%chance

287031

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2975

337

Will the Trump administration militarize New York City before the 2026 Midterms?

Sep 3, 7:20 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM

9.99%chance

216210

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3004

333

Will the Trump administration militarize Baltimore before the 2026 Midterms?

Sep 4, 12:27 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM

11.1%chance

293650

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2832

354

Will the Trump administration militarize Los Angeles again before the 2026 Midterms?

Sep 3, 7:19 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM

13.87%chance

91968

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2492

401

Who will campaign for Graham Platner?

May 3, 2:50 AMDec 31, 1:46 AM

71660

OptionProbability

Chellie Pingree

Any Other Senate Democratic Nominee for 2026

Alexandria Ocasio Cortez

Anyone who has ever been elected to public office as a Republican?

Janet Mills

Pete Buttigieg

Gavin Newsom

Jared Golden

JB Pritzker

Hasan Piker

Zohran Mamdani

Kamala Harris

Josh Shapiro

Barack Obama

75

62

49

49

36

26

20

20

20

20

16

15

14

10

Civil War in Iran in 2026?

Jan 13, 1:35 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

30%chance

22634

OptionVotes

YES

NO

153

65

Will Iran still be charging tolls in the strait of hermuz on January 1st, 2027?

Apr 3, 7:40 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM

29.82%chance

13556

OptionVotes

YES

NO

489

269

Who will win the 2026 election for California's 38th State Senate district

Jun 4, 3:00 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4340

OptionProbability

Catherine Blakespear (Democratic, Incumbent)

Other

93

7

Conditional on complete oil & gas sector destruction: would the iranian regime collapse within 5 years?

Jun 21, 8:56 PMJun 21, 8:54 PM

62.81%chance

585

OptionVotes

NO

YES

130

77

Will Truth Social be bought before 2029?

Jun 19, 6:04 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

27.74%chance

365

OptionVotes

YES

NO

161

62

Will there be a new TRIUMPH OF THE WILL -like film centered on MAGA/Trump by EOY2028?

Jan 20, 9:02 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

42.87%chance

332

OptionVotes

YES

NO

115

87

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