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Prediction markets for News Corp

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be Iran’s supreme leader on 1 January 2027?

Mar 11, 3:15 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

79.71%chance

399241

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1982

504

Will the Trump administration militarize Chicago before the 2026 Midterms?

Sep 3, 7:22 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM

9.12%chance

297609

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3158

317

Will the Trump administration militarize New York City before the 2026 Midterms?

Sep 3, 7:20 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM

7.54%chance

216710

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3504

286

Will the Trump administration militarize Baltimore before the 2026 Midterms?

Sep 4, 12:27 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM

11.1%chance

293650

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2832

354

Will the Trump administration militarize Los Angeles again before the 2026 Midterms?

Sep 3, 7:19 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM

16.63%chance

92221

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2239

447

Civil War in Iran in 2026?

Jan 13, 1:35 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

18.66%chance

26756

OptionVotes

YES

NO

209

48

Will Iran still be charging tolls in the strait of hermuz on January 1st, 2027?

Apr 3, 7:40 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM

37.47%chance

14637

OptionVotes

YES

NO

403

312

Who will win the 2026 election for California's 38th State Senate district

Jun 4, 3:00 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4340

OptionProbability

Catherine Blakespear (Democratic, Incumbent)

Other

93

7

Conditional on complete oil & gas sector destruction: would the iranian regime collapse within 5 years?

Jun 21, 8:56 PMJun 21, 8:54 PM

62.81%chance

585

OptionVotes

NO

YES

130

77

Will Truth Social be bought before 2029?

Jun 19, 6:04 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.97%chance

681

OptionVotes

YES

NO

173

58

Will there be a new TRIUMPH OF THE WILL -like film centered on MAGA/Trump by EOY2028?

Jan 20, 9:02 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

42.87%chance

332

OptionVotes

YES

NO

115

87

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