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Prediction markets for News Corp

Will the Trump administration militarize Chicago before the 2026 Midterms?

Sep 3, 7:22 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM

15.86%chance

286501

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2305

434

Will the Trump administration militarize New York City before the 2026 Midterms?

Sep 3, 7:20 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM

10.19%chance

215843

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2970

337

Will the Trump administration militarize Baltimore before the 2026 Midterms?

Sep 4, 12:27 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM

11.1%chance

293650

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2832

354

Will the regime of Iran fall by the end of March 2026?

Mar 3, 2:11 AMMar 31, 11:59 PM

3.58%chance

383090

OptionVotes

YES

NO

519

19

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be Iran’s supreme leader on 1 January 2027?

Mar 11, 3:15 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

33.55%chance

182209

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1407

711

Will the Trump administration militarize Los Angeles again before the 2026 Midterms?

Sep 3, 7:19 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM

15.7%chance

91938

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2317

432

Civil War in Iran in 2026?

Jan 13, 1:35 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

27%chance

16338

OptionVotes

YES

NO

164

61

Will Iranian Minister of Interior Eskandar Momeni still be alive by June 1st 2026?

Mar 21, 5:30 PMMay 31, 11:59 PM

64.4%chance

10209

OptionVotes

NO

YES

135

74

Who will win the 2026 election for California's 38th State Senate district

Jun 4, 3:00 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3190

OptionProbability

Catherine Blakespear (Democratic, Incumbent)

Other

82

18

Conditional on complete oil & gas sector destruction: would the iranian regime collapse within 5 years?

Jun 21, 8:56 PMJun 21, 8:54 PM

62.81%chance

585

OptionVotes

NO

YES

130

77

Will there be a new TRIUMPH OF THE WILL -like film centered on MAGA/Trump by EOY2028?

Jan 20, 9:02 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

42.87%chance

332

OptionVotes

YES

NO

115

87

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