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Will $Kendu reach 100B MC in next bull run?

Sep 13, 10:15 PMDec 31, 12:59 PM

1.26%chance

2483999

OptionVotes

YES

NO

65171

533

Who will be the next pope after Leo XIV?

May 6, 3:02 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

14081398

OptionProbability

Other

Luis Antonio Tagle

Pierbattista Pizzaballa

Mykola Bychok

Lazarus You Heung-sik

Pietro Parolin

José Tolentino de Mendonça

Robert Prevost

Donald Trump

No one

Giorgio Marengo

Francis Leo

Paulo Cezar Costa

Américo Aguiar

François-Xavier Bustillo

Joe Biden

76

10

4

3

2

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Biden ranked below Carter in next C-SPAN Presidential Historians Survey

Dec 3, 5:59 PMJul 11, 11:00 PM

36.3%chance

7320092

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1327

756

Will Kelsey Piper receive a Pulitzer Prize related to her coverage on any AI company/lab within the next 10 years?

May 23, 6:38 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

15.38%chance

3411193

OptionVotes

YES

NO

8143

1543

What will be the party of the next President of the United States?

Oct 15, 6:37 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

287303

OptionProbability

Democrat

Republican

Other

57

42

1

Will Manifold successfully predict the next pandemic at least 2 weeks in advance?

May 18, 6:49 PMDec 31, 12:00 PM

59.99%chance

143350

OptionVotes

NO

YES

12246

8166

Is the cognitive core hypothesis true? Will it be clear next year?

Dec 7, 7:06 PMDec 8, 6:39 PM

36.06%chance

81166

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3996

2252

Will LTPZ outperform SPY over the next 10 years?

Dec 3, 2:25 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

43.06%chance

3172

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1150

870

Where will the next treasure from The Secret be found?

May 16, 3:59 PMDec 6, 4:57 PM

00

OptionProbability

San Francisco, CA

Charleston, SC

Roanoke Island, NC

St. Augustine, FL

Houston, TX

Milwaukee, WI

Montreal, QC

New Orleans, LA

New York, NY

Other

10

10

10

10

10

10

10

10

10

10

Which country will next change its national electrical frequency after 2025?

Aug 22, 11:27 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

Japan

South Korea

Philippines

Other

25

25

25

25

Will the developers of the game Farlight 84 adding back jetpacks in next update?

Mar 29, 9:08 PMDec 30, 10:04 PM

00

OptionProbability

Yes

No

They wouldn't add jetpacks in the next update, but in the one after that yes

33

33

33

Which country will next change its traffic handedness after 2025?

Aug 22, 11:21 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

Myanmar

Thailand

Papua New Guinea

50

50

50

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