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Prediction markets for Nexus

Will any large company leave California because of SB-1047? (2025)

Jun 12, 4:56 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

186794

OptionProbability

Nothing will happen

Move model training or inference elsewhere

Completely leave

Move employees elsewhere

98

1

0

0

Will any large company leave California because of AI regulations? (2025)

Jun 12, 5:02 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

184119

OptionProbability

Nothing will happen

Move model training or inference elsewhere

Completely leave

Move employees elsewhere

96

2

1

1

Will any large company leave the United States because of AI regulations? (2025)

Jun 12, 5:06 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

163356

OptionProbability

Nothing will happen

Move model training or inference elsewhere

Move employees elsewhere

Completely leave

90

4

3

2

Will the US Supreme Court reaffirm the ruling that generative AI cannot be awarded copyright by end of 2025?

Aug 19, 2:28 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

19.02%chance

312131

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1474

843

Ramez Naam publishes a novel before 2031

Mar 1, 6:21 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

47.31%chance

316

OptionVotes

YES

NO

92

88

Should we create the Torment Nexus from the classic sci-fi novel, "Don't Create the Torment Nexus"?

May 15, 9:26 PM

80

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