NFT News

Will $Kendu reach 100B MC in next bull run?

Sep 13, 10:15 PMDec 31, 12:59 PM

2.43%chance

2468963

OptionVotes

YES

50207

800

By the end of 2026 will @ian finish our nft project?

Nov 30, 3:33 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

47.93%chance

142363

OptionVotes

YES

1042

959

Will blockchain technology be used for storing at least 10% of global GDP by 2027?

Nov 15, 1:49 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

29.32%chance

12941

OptionVotes

YES

1553

644

Will Damien Hirst's "The Currency" be more valuable as an NFT than as a physical painting?

Oct 12, 6:59 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

30.66%chance

18866

OptionVotes

YES

1051

957

Will Manifold Market implement something similar to NFTs before EOY 2028

Jan 11, 5:26 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

14%chance

11302

OptionVotes

YES

248

Will the record for most expensive NFT be broken before the end of 2028? ($69.3M)

Mar 16, 4:14 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

18.52%chance

4183

OptionVotes

YES

317

AI Progress Trajectory from 2028 to 2033

Mar 8, 7:17 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6145

OptionProbability

Exponential (similar to 2020 to 2026), indicates some proto-AGI likely in that timeframe

Other

Hyperexponential (indicates push for ASI and some real self improvement loop) singularity / intelligence explosion

Linear (some level of saturation, no AGI imminent)

Will OpenSea integrate with Instagram by end of 2026?

Feb 17, 12:01 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

31.63%chance

7109

OptionVotes

YES

147

Will any major auction house hold a dedicated NFT auction during Art Basel Miami 2026?

Feb 16, 11:47 PMDec 7, 11:59 PM

66%chance

4100

OptionVotes

YES

139

Will Atomic Semi sell something substantial before 2028?

Feb 23, 2:38 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

64.27%chance

687

OptionVotes

YES

186

120

Will someone (for an ugly nft qualia) create nft of all captain pleasure qualia of the day, and someone mint all.

Jan 15, 10:42 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

50%chance

121

OptionVotes

YES

100

Will someone turn a short reel of Jose Luis Ricon or Sigil Wen into a NFT by 2030

Oct 5, 11:11 AM

NFT News

Prediction markets for NFT

Prediction markets for NFT

Prediction markets for NFT

Will $Kendu reach 100B MC in next bull run?

By the end of 2026 will @ian finish our nft project?

Will blockchain technology be used for storing at least 10% of global GDP by 2027?

Will Damien Hirst's "The Currency" be more valuable as an NFT than as a physical painting?

Will Manifold Market implement something similar to NFTs before EOY 2028

Will the record for most expensive NFT be broken before the end of 2028? ($69.3M)

AI Progress Trajectory from 2028 to 2033

Will OpenSea integrate with Instagram by end of 2026?

Will any major auction house hold a dedicated NFT auction during Art Basel Miami 2026?

Will Atomic Semi sell something substantial before 2028?

Will someone (for an ugly nft qualia) create nft of all captain pleasure qualia of the day, and someone mint all.

Will someone turn a short reel of Jose Luis Ricon or Sigil Wen into a NFT by 2030

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