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Prediction markets for Nichols

In which year will Nassim Nicholas Taleb publish his next book

Jun 15, 4:05 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

525990

OptionProbability

2026-2027

2027-2028

2028-2029

2029-2030

2030-2031

2024-2025

2025-2026

2031-2032

2032-2033

2033-2034

2034-2035

36

19

12

7

5

4

4

4

4

4

4

Who will be the next person to land on the moon?

Feb 9, 4:47 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

161357

OptionProbability

Other

Bob Hines

Jing Haipeng

Tang Hongbo

Zhang Lu

Stephanie Wilson

Cai Xuzhe

Ye Guangfu

Andre Douglas

Chen Dong

Kayla Barron

Jenni Gibbons

Jasmin Moghbeli

Elon Musk

Kate Rubins

Jessica Watkins

Scott Tingle

Frank Rubio

Jessica Meir

Anne McClain

Nicole A. Mann

Kjell Lindgren

Christina H. Koch

Jonny Kim

Victor Glover

Matthew Dominick

Raja Chari

Joseph Acaba

Wang Yaping

Zhai Zhigang

Liu Yang

Nichole Ayers

Jessica Wittner

@121

Jeffery Bezos

Mark Zuckerberg

Warren Hoburg

Other

13

12

8

7

7

6

6

5

4

4

3

3

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

Will the Nicholas Funk vs PSA RICO lawsuit get dismissed?

Aug 5, 6:26 AMDec 31, 6:30 AM

78.41%chance

2410

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1363

876

Will Nicholas Decker (the GMU student) end up marrying an intl and greencarding them into US by EOY2027?

May 22, 9:53 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

12.06%chance

3170

OptionVotes

YES

NO

270

37

Will Nicholas Decker and aella have sex by 2031

Jun 12, 6:27 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

47.36%chance

5115

OptionVotes

YES

NO

105

95

Will nicholas decker have a girlfriend by EOY2027?

Jul 7, 9:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20%chance

4113

OptionVotes

YES

NO

200

50

Will Nicholas Bagamian (2022 Forbes Under 30) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?

Apr 28, 2:13 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

14.68%chance

483

OptionVotes

YES

NO

193

78

Last Longer: Eastwood Vs Nicholson

Jun 12, 9:25 AMJun 19, 9:25 AM

50%chance

470

OptionVotes

NO

YES

116

103

Will Nicholas Decker get someone pregnant by EOY2033?

Jul 5, 10:47 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

55.25%chance

353

OptionVotes

NO

YES

111

90

Will janus or Nicholas Kees Dupuis end up hyperstitioning Jose Luis Ricon?

Aug 21, 3:58 PM

30

Who is FUNNIER: Nicholas Decker or Theo jaffe?

Sep 26, 2:43 AM

40

Will Nicholas Dogris, Tiffany Thompson, or anyone from the school of neurotherapy come to sensoria.events in 2026?

Sep 27, 10:00 PM

00

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