NIST News

Quantum Computing Inc Wins NIST Chip Deal; Amazon Discloses $37 Million IonQ Stake

1 day ago

If Trump wins, will the US AI Safety Institute receive an increase in Congressional appropriations for FY26?

Jun 30, 7:25 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

25.6%chance

141992

OptionVotes

YES

2498

936

Will the SI second be redefined to an optical frequency standard by 01/01/2030?

Aug 2, 6:27 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

5%chance

71127

OptionVotes

YES

978

102

Will the US government adopt and deploy a post-quantum cryptography standard before 2030?

Nov 17, 2:13 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

86.6%chance

17596

OptionVotes

YES

1226

927

Which frequency standard will the SI second be defined from, per BIPM, on 01/01/2034?

Aug 1, 10:41 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

4323

OptionProbability

The cesium 133 F=3 <-> F=4 hyperfine microwave transition (no change)

Any system based on weighted averages of uncertainty or timekeeping contributions

The strontium 87 1S0 <-> 3P0 optical transition

The ytterbium 171 1S0 <-> 3P0 optical transition

Any other optical transition in ions

Any other optical transition in neutral atoms

The thorium 229 metastable nuclear optical transition (any realization)

Significant attack on post-quantum signature SPHINCS+ published before Nov 2026

Nov 21, 8:04 PMNov 1, 10:59 PM

10%chance

2142

OptionVotes

YES

210

Significant attack on post-quantum KEM Kyber published before Nov 2026

Nov 19, 9:38 PMNov 1, 10:59 PM

19.12%chance

4135

OptionVotes

YES

183

In which quarter will NIST publish AI "red team" standards?

Oct 30, 7:39 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

5121

OptionProbability

Q1 2024

Q2 2024

Other

Q3 2024

Q4 2024

Q1 2025

Q3 2023

Will the SI second be redefined to an optical frequency standard before 2035?

Oct 16, 5:20 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

83.27%chance

689

OptionVotes

YES

185

Will DJB win his FOIA lawsuit against NIST?

Aug 5, 11:11 PMFeb 2, 6:59 AM

65.43%chance

975

OptionVotes

YES

196

134

Significant attack on post-quantum signature Dilithium published before Nov 2026

Nov 21, 8:03 PMNov 1, 10:59 PM

34.15%chance

120

OptionVotes

YES

Significant attack on post-quantum signature FALCON published before Nov 2026

Nov 21, 8:05 PMNov 1, 10:59 PM

40.98%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

Will M-Discs be readable after 100 years?

Apr 9, 7:17 PMApr 17, 4:59 AM

47.09%chance

OptionVotes

YES

106

Latest stories

Aug 5, 2025
Aug 5, 2025
Stocks
Business
Tech
Quantum Computing Inc Wins NIST Chip Deal; Amazon Discloses $37 Million IonQ Stake
Authors
14
1 day ago

Join our channels

Get the latest stories live on any device.

WhatsApp
Top Stories
Join
Telegram
Top Stories
Join

NIST News

Top stories

Prediction markets for NIST

Prediction markets for NIST

Prediction markets for NIST

If Trump wins, will the US AI Safety Institute receive an increase in Congressional appropriations for FY26?

Will the SI second be redefined to an optical frequency standard by 01/01/2030?

Will the US government adopt and deploy a post-quantum cryptography standard before 2030?

Which frequency standard will the SI second be defined from, per BIPM, on 01/01/2034?

Significant attack on post-quantum signature SPHINCS+ published before Nov 2026

Significant attack on post-quantum KEM Kyber published before Nov 2026

In which quarter will NIST publish AI "red team" standards?

Will the SI second be redefined to an optical frequency standard before 2035?

Will DJB win his FOIA lawsuit against NIST?

Significant attack on post-quantum signature Dilithium published before Nov 2026

Significant attack on post-quantum signature FALCON published before Nov 2026

Will M-Discs be readable after 100 years?

Latest stories

Join our channels

WhatsApp

Telegram