No Limit Holdings News
Prediction markets for No Limit Holdings
Will Trump 2.0 be the end of Democracy as we know it?
Oct 26, 3:24 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM
24.84%chance
783394684
OptionVotes
6715
3343
Will Vivek Ramaswamy Hold an Official Position in Trump’s White House?
Dec 27, 8:23 AMJan 21, 7:59 AM
9.72%chance
17742411
OptionVotes
7301
1020
Will a large language model beat a super grandmaster playing chess by EOY 2028?
Jun 19, 11:34 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
60%chance
8514881
OptionVotes
1225
816
Will there be an international moratorium on frontier AGI development by EOY 2033?
Mar 24, 2:41 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
21.6%chance
154159
OptionVotes
13624
8759
Will there be any simple text-based task that most humans can solve, but top LLMs can't? By the end of 2026
Jul 14, 8:00 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
62.94%chance
372146
OptionVotes
1014
884
Will technical limitations or safeguards significantly restrict public access to smarter-than-almost-all-humans AGI?
Jun 10, 7:27 PMJun 11, 3:59 AM
40.38%chance
131556
OptionVotes
1215
823
Will consequential atomically precise manufacturing systems be developed before 2040?
Apr 2, 10:01 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM
45.13%chance
19957
OptionVotes
1049
927
Will 1M humanoid robots be manufactured before a human walks on the Moon again?
Mar 10, 12:26 PMMar 2, 10:59 PM
53.59%chance
15676
OptionVotes
1003
977
Under US law, does dynamic linking against a library create a derivative work?
May 31, 12:54 AMJan 2, 1:47 AM
30.53%chance
7603
OptionVotes
1509
663
Will complex atomically precise manufacturing systems be developed before 2040?
Apr 2, 9:54 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM
42.16%chance
13278
OptionVotes
1061
903
Previously unpublished Cormac McCarthy work released before 2028?
May 21, 4:16 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
54.55%chance
7225
OptionVotes
123
100
Will kissing in public be allowed in Dubai by 2030? (at least partially)
Aug 24, 12:25 PMJan 1, 8:59 PM
54.52%chance
3199
OptionVotes
1095
913