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Prediction markets for Nonfarm Payrolls

Will September 2026 U.S. nonfarm payroll employment increase by at least 150,000?

Jun 30, 12:21 AMOct 2, 12:25 PM

12%chance

7248

OptionVotes

YES

NO

270

40

Will the August 2026 U.S. unemployment rate be at least 4.5%?

Jun 17, 4:13 PMSep 4, 12:25 PM

12.97%chance

8232

OptionVotes

YES

NO

230

64

Will August 2026 U.S. nonfarm payroll employment increase by at least 150,000?

Jun 17, 12:16 PMSep 4, 12:25 PM

26.92%chance

11177

OptionVotes

YES

NO

161

64

Will November 2026 U.S. nonfarm payroll employment increase by at least 150,000?

Jun 29, 4:11 AMDec 4, 1:25 PM

14%chance

4150

OptionVotes

YES

NO

247

43

Will the December 2026 U.S. unemployment rate be at least 4.5%?

Jul 7, 2:23 AMJan 8, 1:25 PM

44%chance

5129

OptionVotes

NO

YES

102

98

Will the November 2026 U.S. unemployment rate be at least 4.5%?

Jul 2, 12:12 AMDec 4, 1:25 PM

32.32%chance

754

OptionVotes

YES

NO

130

82

Will the October 2026 U.S. unemployment rate be at least 4.5%?

Jul 3, 3:06 AMNov 6, 1:25 PM

26.41%chance

345

OptionVotes

YES

NO

145

78

How many jobs will the U.S. have at the end of 2030?

Jun 9, 7:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

529

OptionProbability

160M-163M

Below 157M

157M-160M

163M-166M

Above 166M

28

26

16

15

15

What will be the gold's status on Aug month closing?

Aug 8, 9:44 AMAug 31, 11:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

XAU>5000

XAU=5000

XAU<3990

Above 3400

25

25

25

25

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