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Prediction markets for Nonfarm Payrolls

Will the November 2026 U.S. unemployment rate be at least 4.5%?

Jul 2, 12:12 AMDec 4, 1:25 PM

12.77%chance

12356

OptionVotes

YES

NO

255

49

Will the December 2026 U.S. unemployment rate be at least 4.5%?

Jul 7, 2:23 AMJan 8, 1:25 PM

18%chance

6330

OptionVotes

YES

NO

202

59

Will November 2026 U.S. nonfarm payroll employment increase by at least 150,000?

Jun 29, 4:11 AMDec 4, 1:25 PM

26.85%chance

6272

OptionVotes

YES

NO

162

64

How many jobs will the U.S. have at the end of 2030?

Jun 9, 7:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

529

OptionProbability

160M-163M

Below 157M

157M-160M

163M-166M

Above 166M

28

26

16

15

15

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