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Prediction markets for Nonfarm Payrolls

Will September 2026 U.S. nonfarm payroll employment increase by at least 150,000?

Jun 30, 12:21 AMOct 2, 12:25 PM

38.56%chance

11352

OptionVotes

YES

NO

122

83

Will the November 2026 U.S. unemployment rate be at least 4.5%?

Jul 2, 12:12 AMDec 4, 1:25 PM

14%chance

9341

OptionVotes

YES

NO

240

52

Will the December 2026 U.S. unemployment rate be at least 4.5%?

Jul 7, 2:23 AMJan 8, 1:25 PM

18%chance

6330

OptionVotes

YES

NO

202

59

Will November 2026 U.S. nonfarm payroll employment increase by at least 150,000?

Jun 29, 4:11 AMDec 4, 1:25 PM

24.77%chance

4243

OptionVotes

YES

NO

171

61

Will the October 2026 U.S. unemployment rate be at least 4.5%?

Jul 3, 3:06 AMNov 6, 1:25 PM

20.95%chance

7101

OptionVotes

YES

NO

174

69

Will U.S. nonfarm payroll employment decline in September 2026?

Sep 4, 12:25 AMOct 2, 12:00 PM

23.53%chance

893

OptionVotes

YES

NO

153

77

How many jobs will the U.S. have at the end of 2030?

Jun 9, 7:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

529

OptionProbability

160M-163M

Below 157M

157M-160M

163M-166M

Above 166M

28

26

16

15

15

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