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Prediction markets for North Central Unit
Will a war resulting in over one million fatalities within one year occur before 2035?
Jun 1, 6:33 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM
35.26%chance
201078
OptionVotes
1139
883
Will the United States will have an Asian-American First Lady before they have an Asian-American president?
Sep 28, 8:42 PMJan 7, 7:59 AM
43.43%chance
17833
OptionVotes
1335
581
OptionVotes
150
84
Will a war resulting in over one million fatalities within one year occur before 2030?
Jun 1, 6:33 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM
25.47%chance
11279
OptionVotes
171
112
Will any country leave the 1967 protocol of the Geneva convention on refugees by dec 31st 2026?
Nov 26, 8:32 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
27.06%chance
11250
OptionVotes
309
184
OptionProbability
35
24
15
11
11
5
Will more central banks move their gold reserves out of the US?
Sep 15, 7:27 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
73%chance
794
OptionVotes
142
79
Will UCAR/NCAR win its lawsuit against the Trump administration/US government?
Mar 17, 5:05 AMDec 31, 6:04 AM
69.23%chance
150
OptionVotes
150
67