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Prediction markets for NOS

Pope Leo XIV mentions prediction markets before 2027?

Oct 16, 9:14 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

16.68%chance

387946

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3651

1346

Nosiiree Stock

Apr 11, 9:30 PM

216901

OptionProbability

YES

NO

366

311

Will I still be alive in 2031?

Aug 19, 2:16 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

90.66%chance

132396

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3116

321

Will the Mahdi come to the world in the 21st century, have a broad forehead and a big nose, and rule for 7 years?

Sep 19, 2:05 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

21.85%chance

61176

OptionVotes

YES

NO

189

53

Will the Dutch cabinet fall in 2027?

Oct 1, 3:33 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

39.69%chance

7530

OptionVotes

NO

YES

114

90

Will Donald Trump post on Nostr?

Sep 17, 11:35 AMSep 24, 9:59 PM

7.5%chance

13464

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1314

942

In Jan 2028, will getting opinions from top forecaster be commonplace in non-profit decision making? [Resolves to Poll]

Sep 26, 12:44 AMOct 3, 6:59 AM

22%chance

11418

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1028

978

Nostr Stock

May 2, 1:02 PMMay 3, 4:59 AM

5215

OptionProbability

NO

YES

274

68

In Jan 2028, will non-profit decision making commonly use forecasting processes? [Resolves to Poll]

Sep 26, 12:48 AMOct 3, 6:59 AM

9.58%chance

6152

OptionVotes

YES

NO

260

92

Nostr vs Bluesky Ratio

May 2, 12:37 PMMay 3, 4:59 AM

6118

OptionProbability

YES

NO

148

52

Will AIs/LLMs be considered strongly averse to genocide/slavery in a twitter poll in Jan 2027?

May 2, 1:16 PMJan 31, 11:59 PM

74.51%chance

340

OptionVotes

NO

YES

150

88

Will AIs/LLMs be considered strongly averse to genocide/slavery in a twitter poll in Jan 2040?

May 2, 1:18 PMJan 31, 11:59 PM

47.39%chance

120

OptionVotes

NO

YES

70

70

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