Novelis News

Connie Chan advances; Scott Wiener wins

Connie Chan advances; Connie Chan wins

Saikat Chakrabarti advances; Scott Wiener wins

NO

YES

YES

NO

Will Republicans win the Senate in the 2026 elections?

P=NP resolved before 2028

Takeoff: ECI >= 200 before 2028?

Labor: US labor force participation in December 2027?

Will ANOTHER millennium prize problem be solved in 2026?

Chinese model matches a 120-day-old US ECI record before July 2027?

All Millennium Prize Problems solved before 2028?

Anthropic IPO before end of 2026?

OpenAI IPO before June 30, 2027?

US approves an HBM-based Nvidia Blackwell GPU for China before 2028?

Leap: ECI record beaten by >= 9 points before 2028?

Google model sets a new ECI record before April 2027?

YES

YES

(5%, 10%], Scott win

(0.5%, 5%], Scott narrow win

[-5%, -0.5%), Connie narrow win

[-10%, -5%), Connie win

(10%, 20%], Scott commanding win

[-0.5%, 0.5%], squeaker

> 20%, Scott blowout

[-20%, -10%), Connie commanding win

YES

NO

NO