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Top stories

Trump Presses Hall of Fame to Add Roger Clemens

Trump Presses Hall of Fame to Add Roger Clemens

Authors

13

9 months ago

Prediction markets for NOW

5 years from now, will ChatGPT be seen as an "iPhone moment?"

Mar 27, 5:41 AMMar 28, 4:59 AM

89.2%chance

39153419

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2652

1452

We sell >2x the boosts now that we add 5k liquidity to the AMM?

Mar 10, 10:02 PMDec 31, 11:02 PM

36%chance

9638477

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4694

1462

Will I deem Donut Lab's solid state battery claims in their video to have been false one year from now?

Jan 6, 7:00 AMJan 6, 9:59 PM

91.34%chance

8420440

OptionVotes

NO

YES

7433

4788

If I buy physical indium for investment, will I regret it in 5 years from now?

May 24, 1:59 AMMay 5, 3:59 AM

58.04%chance

828232

OptionVotes

NO

YES

12716

9569

Will the Sun engulf the Earth before 12 billion years from now.

Dec 8, 8:11 PMDec 8, 11:59 PM

12.87%chance

315554

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1907

761

Will membership in the LDS church decline YoY in any year between now and 2030

Oct 16, 12:57 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

26.3%chance

464805

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1690

364

Will artificial intelligence be part of a solution of the second Millennium Problem solved from now?

Sep 13, 12:23 AMSep 13, 6:59 AM

81.49%chance

374388

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1229

876

Will the world look shockingly similar in 5 years from now (2030)?

Dec 30, 12:23 PMDec 31, 4:59 PM

53.67%chance

383834

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1076

929

Will my standard of living 3 years from now be meaningfully affected by AI?

Feb 21, 9:22 PMFeb 22, 6:59 AM

67.88%chance

30627

OptionVotes

YES

NO

995

989

Will Georgia (country) keep its territorial integrity until end of 2030? (The situation will not be worse than now)

Sep 21, 11:04 AMDec 31, 7:59 PM

57.1%chance

9610

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1154

867

Are we getting less intelligent? Will our IQ scores get lower from now onwards? Are we headed for idiocracy?

Sep 3, 8:52 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

52.22%chance

23500

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1097

893

Will the number of wards and branches in the LDS (Mormon) Church decrease year-over-year between now and 2030?

Mar 23, 1:48 AMMay 2, 5:59 AM

46.78%chance

4170

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2026

1742

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