NT News

NTSB's determined primary cause of the collision between American Eagle Flight 5342 and a military Black Hawk helicopter

Jan 30, 5:52 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

226988

OptionProbability

The NTSB's final report does not explicitly state that any of the above causes were the primary cause of the collision, or the final report identifies multiple equal causes, or the NTSB does not release a final report by December 31, 2025.

The NTSB's final report explicitly states that pilot error (from either aircraft) was the primary cause of the collision.

The NTSB's final report explicitly states that electrical or mechanical failure (whether due to unknown causes or explicitly due to a maintenance error) was the primary cause of the collision.

The NTSB's final report explicitly states that air traffic control error or any other form of air transport support staff error (excluding maintenance of the aircraft) was the primary cause of the collision.

If another Carrington Event happens, will I be able to resolve this?

Jun 12, 8:44 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

69.71%chance

141561

OptionVotes

YES

1517

659

Crash of Learjet 55 - NTSB's determined cause(s) - Multichoice FFA

Feb 1, 1:57 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

61412

OptionProbability

The NTSB's report explicitly states that electrical failure (due to unknown causes) contributed to the crash.

The NTSB does not release a final report by December 31, 2025.

The NTSB's report explicitly states that pilot error (from any aircraft) contributed to the crash.

The NTSB's report explicitly states that electrical failure (explicitly due to a maintenance error) contributed to the crash.

The NTSB's report explicitly states that mechanical failure (due to unknown causes) contributed to the crash.

The NTSB's report explicitly states that mechanical failure (explicitly due to a maintenance error) contributed to the crash.

The NTSB's report does not explicitly state that any of the above causes contributed to the crash.

The NTSB's report explicitly states that mechanical failure (explicitly due to a design flaw or manufacturing defect) contributed to the crash.

The NTSB's report explicitly states that electrical failure (explicitly due to a design flaw or manufacturing defect) contributed to the crash.

The NTSB's report explicitly states that air traffic control error or any other form of ground-based air transport support staff error (excluding maintenance of the aircraft) contributed to the crash.

The NTSB's report explicitly states that an intentional pilot action (suicide, terrorism, etc.) (from any aircraft) contributed to the crash.

The NTSB's report explicitly states that an intentional passenger action (suicide, terrorism, etc.) (from any aircraft) contributed to the crash.

What subject will arml i10 be

May 1, 12:46 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

41013

OptionProbability

Geo

Alg

Combo

100

Will a European NT play in the next Copa America?

Jul 9, 4:15 PMJun 11, 3:59 AM

4.5%chance

41001

OptionVotes

YES

460

If another Carrington Event occurred tomorrow, would most Manifold users still be alive in a year?

Jun 3, 12:31 AMJun 1, 6:59 AM

71.04%chance

11918

OptionVotes

YES

1566

638

Collision between American Eagle Flight 5342 and Black Hawk - NTSB's determined cause(s) - Multichoice FFA

Feb 1, 2:28 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

14897