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Prediction markets for NULS

Will I think jury nullification occured in the Luigi Mangione case?

Dec 17, 6:34 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

7.36%chance

234132

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3549

282

Will "Nullius in Verba: 3rd party evidence for Nect..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Mar 21, 3:53 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

11.64%chance

53208

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1200

971

Will any of Joe Biden's presidential pardons be legally nullified before the end of Trump's term?

May 19, 12:56 PMJan 22, 11:59 PM

9.11%chance

203068

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3165

317

Will Luigi get away with killing the CEO by a jury nullification by my judgement?

Dec 28, 1:20 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

7.82%chance

211061

OptionVotes

YES

NO

343

29

How common will Jury Nullification be in the following years, according to a funded collaborative review?

May 1, 4:16 AMMar 2, 7:59 AM

589

OptionProbability

2027

2026

2024

2025

2029

33

30

26

26

20

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