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Prediction markets for Nvidia AI

Did DeepSeek lie about the GPU compute budget they used in the training of v3?

Jan 25, 5:04 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

12.58%chance

7132050

OptionVotes

YES

NO

25925

4669

A plane carrying NVIDIA AI chips for delivery is shot down or crashes under suspicious circumstances by mid 2027

Apr 6, 12:42 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM

8%chance

295455

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3391

295

Will the US require purchasers of large numbers of GPUs to report their usage before 2026?

May 16, 3:19 PMDec 31, 8:00 PM

18.08%chance

263762

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1473

835

2030 – 5. AI-driven job loss will be one of the most widely discussed political and social issues.

Mar 11, 12:09 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

71.93%chance

163414

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1009

979

Will AI accelerators improve in FLOPs/watt by 100x of an NVidia H100 by 2033?

Jun 25, 1:25 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

85.56%chance

173384

OptionVotes

NO

YES

243

41

NVIDIA's Market Cap on Jan 1, 2026, in $ Trillions?

Jul 14, 7:55 PMJan 3, 7:59 AM

36.52%chance

271411

OptionProbability

NO

YES

1138

656

2030 – 4. “Agents” and “AGI” will be outdated terms that are no longer widely used.

Mar 11, 12:08 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

26.97%chance

251329

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1017

852

Will a serious competitor to NVIDIA in the AI chip space emerge before EOY 2027?

Mar 31, 7:40 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

74.93%chance

401206

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1357

810

Will AMD release a product that is competitive with NVIDIA in the AI hardware accelerator space before 2028?

Dec 26, 8:33 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

76%chance

23912

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1108

940

NVDA returns over the next 10 years will outperform the returns of CSCO between 1999 and 2009

Jun 4, 7:40 PMJun 11, 7:14 PM

69.68%chance

6530

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1516

660

NVIDIAs datacenter revenue and BigTech AI capex doubles by Q4 2026

May 19, 12:12 PMJan 1, 10:47 AM

39.9%chance

7151

OptionVotes

YES

NO

123

81

Will someone from sundai.club get a Nvidia's Project Digits desktop AI supercomputer by EOY2025?

Feb 12, 3:36 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

69%chance

459

OptionVotes

NO

YES

149

67

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