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Prediction markets for NYC

Trump orders active duty military to NYC by end of 2026?

Nov 5, 11:13 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15.86%chance

113953

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2303

434

Will NYC build more housing in 2026 than 2025 iff Zohran wins? (Or less housing if he doesn't.)

Jun 29, 2:58 AMMar 31, 10:59 PM

40%chance

183030

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1225

816

Will NYC build more housing in 2026 than 2025?

Jun 29, 2:11 AMMar 31, 10:59 PM

44.11%chance

202488

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1126

888

Will NYC close an entire street to cars before 2050?

May 22, 8:25 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

84.94%chance

91421

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2375

421

Will another NYC subway station permanently close before July 1st 2027, which will be 10 years since the last closure?

Nov 29, 5:12 PMJul 2, 3:59 AM

9.53%chance

161365

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2225

774

Will credible evidence show OpenAI paid ≥100 NYC households to install indoor 360° cameras for home-activity recording?

May 24, 1:08 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

24.11%chance

131218

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1774

564

Will I be able to summon a robotaxi in NYC before I can buy an EV with a all-solid-state battery?

Jan 25, 8:08 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

77.63%chance

231068

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1052

972

Can the public ride in a waymo or similar in Dec 2027 in NYC?

Apr 11, 2:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

35.51%chance

8916

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1348

742

Will I be able to purchase internet with speeds of 500 Gbps in the NYC area by the end of 2029?

Apr 10, 7:11 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

46.65%chance

15493

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1076

893

What percentage of NYC yellow taxis will be electric vehicles by 2030?

May 15, 11:21 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

59.87%chance

13277

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1107

918

Will NYC permanently close another subway station before Nintendo ends online support for the Switch?

Jan 25, 6:31 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

48.51%chance

1197

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1052

948

What restaurants in NYC will I like if I go to them? [ADD RESPONSES]

May 27, 7:03 PMDec 31, 8:00 PM

00

OptionProbability

Gage & Tollner

Dhamaka

Theodora

Atoboy

Tadhana

Semma

Dirt Candy

Rezdora

Crown Shy

Atera

Farra

Zou Zou

50

50

50

50

50

50

50

50

50

50

50

50

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