NYT News
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Prediction markets for NYT
New York Times vs. OpenAI: Will the NYT win the Copyright Lawsuit on any count?
Dec 28, 1:38 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
41139585
OptionProbability
37
29
18
16
Which of these outcomes of the NYT vs. OpenAI lawsuit will occur?
Dec 29, 1:50 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
21329858
OptionProbability
53
48
33
33
31
27
27
25
17
14
13
12
5
5
4
0
0
0
0
Will If Anyone Builds It appear in a NYT bestseller list again?
Sep 27, 12:54 PMSep 27, 12:46 PM
5%chance
5424924
OptionVotes
4370
230
Will the New York Times (NYT) achieve a favorable outcome in its copyright lawsuit against OpenAI and Microsoft?
Dec 27, 9:24 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
78.74%chance
789163
OptionVotes
1378
972
OptionProbability
30
30
11
10
8
8
8
7
7
7
6
6
5
5
5
3
2
Will "IABIED is on the NYT bestseller list" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
Sep 26, 11:01 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM
4.69%chance
72104
OptionVotes
2796
846
Will the WSJ, NYT, FT, or Economist create a market on Manifold by 2030?
Oct 29, 5:04 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
19.52%chance
292067
OptionVotes
1836
655
Will NYT write an article about a scandal at 80,000 Hours, before end of 2026?
Feb 13, 4:16 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
5.27%chance
141908
OptionVotes
3091
851
[Metaculus] By 2050, will at least 25% of #1 NYT Best Selling Fiction be primarily written by AI?
Nov 7, 12:06 AMFeb 2, 8:31 PM
42%chance
16811
OptionVotes
202
178
Will NYT write an article about a scandal at CEA before end of 2026?
Feb 13, 7:48 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
37.16%chance
12264
OptionVotes
1003
999
Will Dwarkesh Patel be a NYT bestselling author before 2027?
Feb 14, 7:42 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
13.75%chance
8180
OptionVotes
250
40
Liike Nyt in finnish government formed after next Finnish Parliamentary Elections?
Oct 15, 8:13 PMMay 18, 11:59 PM
26.39%chance
267
OptionVotes
167
60


