OCC News
Prediction markets for OCC
OptionProbability
55
20
13
8
4
2
1
Will the 2028 US presidential election occur "as normal"?
Feb 19, 1:33 AMJan 28, 3:59 PM
75%chance
14234343
OptionVotes
10400
7578
OptionVotes
189
53
OptionVotes
3285
313
Will a pandemic caused by a novel pathogen occur before 2032 and result in the deaths of more than 20 million people?
Mar 3, 1:11 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
15%chance
427048
OptionVotes
2773
1534
OptionVotes
1040
956
Will a major world war occur before the end of 2050?
Apr 21, 6:43 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
43.55%chance
512190
OptionVotes
1122
748
OptionVotes
2343
427
Will the BLS predict a net decline in jobs over the occupations "Computer Programmer" and "Software Developer" by 2028?
Aug 23, 5:32 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM
50.07%chance
161264
OptionVotes
1257
604
Will a war resulting in over one million fatalities within one year occur before 2035?
Jun 1, 6:33 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM
35.26%chance
201078
OptionVotes
1139
883
If another Carrington Event occurred tomorrow, would most Manifold users still be alive in a year?
Jun 3, 12:31 AMJun 1, 6:59 AM
71.04%chance
11918
OptionVotes
1566
638
Will a televised American Football match between teams of humanoid robots occur before 2035?
Mar 22, 5:57 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
33.53%chance
14431
OptionVotes
1007
959