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Prediction markets for Ocean

If Trump is President in 2025, who will be his first appointee to lead the Bureau of Ocean Energy Management?

Jul 3, 1:56 AMJan 22, 4:59 AM

2058388

OptionProbability

Other

Matt Giacona

None— vacant thoughout end of term in Jan 20 2029

Trump not elected President

44

36

19

1

Will the arctic be ice-free for any period of time ("blue ocean event") before summer 2026?

Aug 15, 12:00 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

1.58%chance

238356

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6176

739

Will there be an Arctic Blue Ocean Event by 2030?

Feb 6, 7:07 AMJan 2, 4:47 AM

15.49%chance

146526

OptionVotes

YES

NO

369

101

By 2050, will humans pump significant quantities of ocean water towards the poles to reduce leap seconds?

Mar 24, 5:07 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

1.75%chance

443891

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2730

902

Is there a major headline discovery that still remains hidden in the world's oceans?

Apr 7, 9:09 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

88.78%chance

813413

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2609

1178

Ocean Acidification Should Be More Worrying Than Atmospheric Climate Change (Resolves to Probability)

Feb 15, 4:56 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

49.75%chance

381761

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1149

791

By 2050, will humans pump significant quantities of ocean water onto Antarctica to reduce sea levels?

Mar 24, 1:11 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10.48%chance

181134

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1849

831

Will India start building another military base in the southwest Indian Ocean before end of 2026?

Oct 3, 2:38 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM

60.95%chance

16611

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1014

985

Will the incidence of cancer in the Pacific Ocean region increase following the disposal of nuclear meltdown wastewater?

Sep 5, 3:06 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

25.21%chance

14443

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1042

946

If I stick with Digital Ocean, will they attempt to censor any content I host with them before 2030?

Mar 6, 3:29 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

44.45%chance

5411

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1118

895

Will Jose Luis Ricon, Alexey Guzey, Malcolm Ocean, Joscha Bach, and Qiaochu Yuan all circle with each other?

Jul 23, 9:45 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

28.49%chance

470

OptionVotes

YES

NO

158

63

What will my probability be that these ocean regions have been kept cool by sulfur emissions from ships until 2020?

Mar 11, 12:31 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

65.73%chance

568

OptionVotes

NO

YES

203

109

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