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Prediction markets for of Companies

This market resolves YES when an artificial agent is appointed to the board of directors of a S&P500 company, meanwhile every day I will bet M25 in NO.

Dec 11, 5:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

70.68%chance

301639757

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2690

2506

What will be the largest company in the world by market cap at the start of 2030

Oct 14, 3:23 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

19791390

OptionProbability

Alphabet

Nvidia

Apple

Microsoft

OpenAI

Anthropic

Tesla

Amazon

Other

Strategy₿ (MSTR)

Broadcom

Meta

TSMC

Oracle

A company that did not exist at the posting of this question

SpaceX

ASML

Saudi Aramco

Tencent

IBM

Baidu

Walmart

Berkshire Hathaway

Intel

Eli Lilly

ByteDance

18

18

12

12

7

6

5

4

4

3

3

2

2

2

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Binding agreement of acquisition or merger between Apple and AI company before Q3 2026

Aug 2, 4:38 AMJul 1, 11:59 PM

4072221

OptionProbability

Perplexity

Mistral

Cohere

Hugging Face

Anthropic

Thinking Machines Lab

17

12

11

8

4

4

Will there be a >0 value liquidity event for me, a former Consensys Software Inc. employee, on my shares of the company?

Jun 24, 1:17 PMSep 3, 4:00 AM

29.57%chance

1953878

OptionVotes

YES

NO

16624

6806

If an AI system is responsible for the deaths of >= 5000 Americans by eoy 2027, which AI company would be most to blame?

Jan 21, 5:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8516354

OptionProbability

Palantir

Other

xAI

OpenAI

Anthropic

Anduril

Google

Facebook

DeepSeek

Alibaba

Mistral

17

17

13

13

10

10

7

6

5

1

1

What will be the most valuable company in the world at the end of 2030?

Dec 14, 6:47 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

5312507

OptionProbability

Nvidia

Apple

Microsoft

Alphabet (Google)

Other

TSMC

OpenAI

Amazon

Tesla

Strategy (MSTR)

Meta (Facebook)

Anthropic

Saudi Aramco

Berkshire Hathaway

SpaceX

Tencent

ASML

ByteDance

Samsung

Intel

Eli Lilly

22

14

14

13

9

5

4

3

3

3

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

In 2028, will traditional Big Tech be clearly ahead of AI-specific companies in AI technology?

Feb 20, 10:35 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

31.95%chance

1428966

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3125

2071

Will any of the below AI companies be nationalized, according to the definition in the description?

Dec 9, 7:39 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

98274

OptionProbability

Any frontier AI company, "soft nationalization"

Other frontier AI firm, "soft nationalization"

xAI, "soft nationalization"

Anthropic, "soft nationalization"

OpenAI, "soft nationalization"

Any frontier AI company, "hard nationalization"

Google DeepMind, "soft nationalization"

Other frontier AI firm, "hard nationalization"

xAI, "hard nationalization"

Anthropic, "hard nationalization"

OpenAI, "hard nationalization"

Google DeepMind, "hard nationalization"

78

64

56

50

49

46

39

39

30

25

21

19

9. One of the large global pharma companies will acquire one of the leading protein AI startups.

Dec 28, 11:36 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

59.78%chance

6671

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1221

822

By end of 2030, will any US company be worth $10 trillion, in inflation adjusted 2022 dollars?

Nov 23, 9:11 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

36.15%chance

29621

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1040

894

Will any state or company implement mass production of living humans by 2200?

Mar 2, 5:39 PMJan 1, 8:59 PM

26.83%chance

18563

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1014

981

New CEO at 3 of 14 top companies by mid 2027

May 29, 7:11 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM

47.5%chance

3171

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1051

951

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