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of Congress News

Will either the courts or congress significantly limit trumps ability to impose or negotiate tariffs by the end of 2025

Apr 7, 10:55 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

22.16%chance

19490300

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1580

911

Will Trump's use of IEEPA to enact tariffs without congress be ruled unlawful?

Mar 11, 1:04 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

72.57%chance

3941910

OptionVotes

NO

YES

16264

6149

Will the 119th Congress be breached by a mob of violent protesters?

Sep 4, 12:26 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

3.55%chance

187986

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2212

20

Will a member of Congress or a federal judge be arrested and held without bail?

Apr 28, 7:29 PMApr 29, 7:28 PM

39.19%chance

207525

OptionVotes

YES

NO

12457

8028

Will Musk-backed third-party candidate(s) win any seats in Congress by the end of 2026?

Jul 5, 9:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20.72%chance

213813

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1956

511

Will Congress pass a bill by the end of Q1 2025 that mandates customer service operations to be located inside the USA?

Nov 23, 3:14 PMMar 31, 11:59 PM

18.61%chance

102933

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2092

478

Will any third party gain more than 5 concurrent seats in Congress before the end of 2032

Oct 2, 4:08 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM

15.34%chance

172531

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1200

892

Will there be a US Sovereign Wealth Fund established by the federal government by the end of the 119th congress?

Nov 21, 6:49 PMJan 7, 4:59 AM

9.02%chance

132453

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2055

53

Will a member of United States congress die in 2026?

Sep 29, 5:16 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

88.72%chance

171896

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1925

811

Will Congress pass sweeping deregulatory measures by the end of 2026?

Feb 27, 5:54 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

62.67%chance

221831

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1296

772

Will the president during the 2024-2028 term be impeached by at least one body of congress during his term?

May 3, 9:36 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

58.29%chance

201461

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1033

946

Will any GOP member of the US Congress lose their 2026 election to a candidate endorsed by Elon Musk?

Jul 1, 12:27 AMDec 2, 4:59 AM

56.06%chance

9119

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1029

958

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