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Prediction markets for of Congress

Will Republicans maintain a majority in the House of Representatives throughout the 119th Congress?

Nov 14, 12:17 AMJan 3, 4:59 PM

97.3%chance

168417

OptionVotes

NO

YES

6004

167

Will the 119th Congress be breached by a mob of violent protesters?

Sep 4, 12:26 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

3.55%chance

187986

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2212

20

Will a member of Congress or a federal judge be arrested and held without bail?

Apr 28, 7:29 PMApr 29, 7:28 PM

38.42%chance

227750

OptionVotes

YES

NO

12660

7899

Will Musk-backed third-party candidate(s) win any seats in Congress by the end of 2026?

Jul 5, 9:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3.14%chance

277404

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5553

180

Any of Elon Musk's America Party's candidates wins a seat in Congress in 2026

Jul 9, 9:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3.69%chance

186390

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5110

196

Will the president during the 2024-2028 term be impeached by at least one body of congress during their term?

May 3, 9:36 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

67.24%chance

293065

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1194

888

Will the AI Data Center Moratorium Act (S.4214) pass Congress by end of the 119th Congress?

Mar 27, 3:22 AMFeb 1, 11:59 AM

7.65%chance

92778

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3475

288

Will any third party gain more than 5 concurrent seats in Congress before the end of 2032

Oct 2, 4:08 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM

14.09%chance

172631

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1300

875

Will Congress pass sweeping deregulatory measures by the end of 2026?

Feb 27, 5:54 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

59.28%chance

241941

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1207

829

Will Congress officially change the name of the Kennedy Center to honor Trump in 2026?

Dec 19, 9:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12.59%chance

121699

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2635

380

Will any GOP member of the US Congress lose their 2026 election to a candidate endorsed by Elon Musk?

Jul 1, 12:27 AMDec 2, 4:59 AM

67.14%chance

10419

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1258

844

Will a member of Congress be found liable for Twitter censorship?

Jan 5, 5:00 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

14.42%chance

12297

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1213

942

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