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Prediction markets for of Labor

Will the bureau of labor report that there were more computer programmers in the US in 2030 than 2023?

Jan 5, 7:15 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

2.27%chance

8012558

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3341

21

Who will be Donald Trump’s Secretary of Labor?

Nov 6, 6:52 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

127051

OptionProbability

Lori Chavez-DeRemer

Patrick Pizzella

Bryan Slater

Other

99

0

0

0

Will >50% of human physical labor be replaced by robots before 2030?

Dec 29, 8:25 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

21%chance

515150

OptionVotes

NO

YES

978

839

Will increasing levels of AI/Automation cause a meaningful reduction in sweatshop labor by 2035?

Aug 24, 10:40 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

57.41%chance

673036

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1458

1072

Bureau of Labor Statistics public reports manipulated for political purposes by end of 2025

Feb 5, 2:03 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

31.62%chance

182225

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1471

680

Will the bureau of labor say computer programmers' (inflation-adjusted) salaries decreased between 2023 and 2030?

Jan 5, 7:27 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

38.24%chance

461473

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1080

817

Will labor’s share of income decline in 2025?

Jun 3, 8:13 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

58.33%chance

13719

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1191

857

Will the Australian Labor Party win a majority of seats in the House of Representatives at the next federal election?

Jul 22, 11:40 AMSep 25, 11:37 AM

62.57%chance

3409

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1293

773

Will the a substantial portion (>25%) of civilians still participate in the US labor market in Jan. 2030?

Jun 13, 7:33 PMFeb 14, 7:59 AM

92.54%chance

5314

OptionVotes

NO

YES

314

86

Who will be the next leader of the Australian Labor Party?

Nov 1, 8:23 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

11268

OptionProbability

Jim Chalmers

Other

Tanya Plibersek

Penny Wong

Chris Bowen

Richard Marles

Bill Shorten

45

22

16

6

4

3

3

Next non-Labor Prime Minister of Australia

May 25, 2:52 PMJun 30, 2:34 PM

1120

OptionProbability

Jacinta Nampijinpa Price

Other

Sussan Ley

Josh Frydenberg

41

41

11

7

Will the next Expert Survey on Progress in AI estimate 50% chance Full Automation of Labor after 2080?

Jan 22, 6:36 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

69.25%chance

454

OptionVotes

NO

YES

114

73

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