of Parliament News

How many people will be criminally charged in Ukraine for the murder of Irina Farion, former member of parliament?

Jul 22, 5:29 AMSep 1, 5:59 AM

1314115

Will there be a Scottish Parliament election by the end of 2025?

Apr 29, 12:39 PMNov 30, 11:59 PM

2.38%chance

126552

OptionVotes

YES

7303

375

Will Parliament return before the end of planned Summer Recess 2025?

Jul 30, 5:44 AMAug 31, 5:42 AM

4%chance

94055

OptionVotes

YES

4899

204

The Opportunities Party (TOP) will be represented in what upcoming New Zealand parliamentary sessions?

Jul 15, 6:19 AMJan 31, 10:59 PM

22204

OptionProbability

58th parliament

59th parliament

60th parliament

57th parliament

56th parliament

55th parliament

Which party will be the biggest in the Dutch parliament elections of 2025.

Jun 3, 9:58 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

192157

OptionProbability

PVV

GL/PvdA

CDA

VVD

Other

What will be true about the European Union before 2040? [add responses]

Jun 22, 9:59 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

161704

OptionProbability

EU Parliament gets right of Legislative Initiative

Broad consensus on CMU (Capital Markets Union) completion

EU institution controlling an army of over 20,000 personnel

EU-wide UBI

S&D becoming the largest group in the EP

EU Parliament gaining full co-decision powers on all EU legislation

(to be resolved N/A)

A new Treaty will reform the EU constitution (as Lisbon or Maastricht Treaties did)

Abolition of unanimity in foreign policy

Direct election of the Commission President by the population

At least 1/3 of the Parliament elected on Union-wide lists

EU overtaking the USA in GDP (PPP)

EU achieving net-zero carbon emissions

EU institution controlling an army of over 100,000 personnel

Nuclear weapons under the control of an EU institution

EU-wide minimum wage

EU finances more than 50% of its budget from self-collected taxes

2x2: Will Labour get a majority, Will UK aid be at or above the 0.6% of GNI by the end of the Parliament?

Dec 20, 4:01 PMDec 27, 11:59 PM

3721

OptionProbability

Labour Majority, aid < 0.6% GNI

Labour Majority, aid >= 0.6% GNI

Not Labour Majority, aid >= 0.6% GNI

Not Labour Majority, aid < 0.6% GNI

2x2: Will Labour get majority, will fossil fuels (without imports) compose >33% of UK energy gen next Parliament?

Dec 20, 3:47 PMDec 27, 11:59 PM

3552

OptionProbability

Labour Majority, fossil fuels <=22%

Labour Majority, fossil fuels >22%

Not Labour Majority, fossil fuels >22%

Not Labour Majority, fossil fuels <=22%

Will Josh Frydenberg be reelected to parliament before the end of 2025?

Nov 3, 9:07 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

2.78%chance

3320

OptionVotes

YES

356

What will happen after President Zelensky signs bill №12414 into law?

Jul 23, 3:49 AMJul 24, 2:46 AM

8277

OptionProbability

An anti-corruption protest with at least 10,000 attendees will take place in a Ukrainian city in July 2025

Ukraine will receive a lower score in the 2026 edition of the Corruption Perceptions Index than in the 2024 edition

The law will be repealed or annulled in full by the end of 2025

Volodymyr Zelensky's trust rating will fall below 50% in a poll published by KIIS, Rating or Razumkov in 2025

The New York Times will publish an editorial criticising Volodymyr Zelensky by the end of August 2025

The Ukrainian parliament's trust rating will fall below 10% in a poll published by Razumkov in 2025

The European Commission will issue a formal statement expressing opposition to the law in July 2025

Donald Trump will describe Volodymyr Zelensky as "corrupt" in July 2025

100

When will the first company be officially registered under the EU Inc. framework (28th Regime)?

Dec 16, 10:17 AMJan 1, 12:00 AM

3160

OptionProbability

Proposal rejected/not introduced in EU parliament by 2028

2026

2025

2027

2028

Will Josh Frydenberg be reelected to parliament before the end of 2028?

Apr 30, 8:54 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

34.24%chance

441

OptionVotes

YES

139

of Parliament News

Prediction markets for of Parliament

Prediction markets for of Parliament

Prediction markets for of Parliament

How many people will be criminally charged in Ukraine for the murder of Irina Farion, former member of parliament?

Will there be a Scottish Parliament election by the end of 2025?

Will Parliament return before the end of planned Summer Recess 2025?

The Opportunities Party (TOP) will be represented in what upcoming New Zealand parliamentary sessions?

Which party will be the biggest in the Dutch parliament elections of 2025.

What will be true about the European Union before 2040? [add responses]

2x2: Will Labour get a majority, Will UK aid be at or above the 0.6% of GNI by the end of the Parliament?

2x2: Will Labour get majority, will fossil fuels (without imports) compose >33% of UK energy gen next Parliament?

Will Josh Frydenberg be reelected to parliament before the end of 2025?

What will happen after President Zelensky signs bill №12414 into law?

When will the first company be officially registered under the EU Inc. framework (28th Regime)?

Will Josh Frydenberg be reelected to parliament before the end of 2028?

Latest stories