of Staff News

How long will Susie Wiles serve as Donald Trump's chief of staff?

Nov 8, 5:17 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

164126

OptionProbability

through January 20, 2025

through March, 2025

through June, 2025

through December, 2025

100

Manifold Staffs Stocks

Mar 27, 8:55 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

183406

OptionProbability

@SG (Stephen Grugett)

@Conflux

@Gen

@Austin

@SirSalty (David Chee)

Other

@JamesGrugett

@ian

@Sinclair

Marshall Polaris

@Joshua

Alice Pang

What government positions will Tom Scott (the YouTuber) hold for any length of time in the rest of his life?

Apr 28, 4:27 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

121917

OptionProbability

Chief of Staff

Leader (majority or minority)

Ambassador

Mayor

Representative

Cabinet Secretary

President

Governor

Attorney General

Vice President

Supreme Court Justice

How many Chiefs of Staff will serve in Trump's second term?

Nov 9, 3:38 AMJan 21, 4:59 AM

101519

OptionProbability

Other

What government positions will Tim Scott hold for any length of time in the rest of his life?

Apr 22, 5:18 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

121099

OptionProbability

Cabinet Secretary

Ambassador

Governor

Representative

Attorney General

Chief of Staff

Leader (majority or minority)

Mayor

Vice President

Supreme Court Justice

President

Evidence of Biden's staff knowledge of his cancer during his presidency before end of 2025

May 20, 8:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5.71%chance

221081

OptionVotes

YES

406

What government positions will Mike Johnson hold for any length of time in the rest of his life?

Apr 25, 4:46 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

10444

OptionProbability

Senator

Attorney General

Governor

Ambassador

Mayor

Cabinet Secretary

Chief of Staff

Vice President

President

Supreme Court Justice

In what year will over half of us fast food restaurants in the US have less than 2 employees on staff at a time?

Jun 22, 1:06 AMJun 29, 4:59 AM

8415

If Donald Trump wins the election will he pardon at least one family or staff member before the end of his term?

Aug 14, 3:27 PMJan 11, 4:59 AM

68.19%chance

14193

OptionVotes

YES

146

Will Trump have 3 or more Chiefs of Staff at the White House during his term?

Nov 21, 8:47 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

33.41%chance

12179

OptionVotes

YES

141

Crash of Learjet 55 - NTSB's determined primary cause

Feb 1, 1:25 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

11151

OptionProbability

The NTSB does not release a final report by December 31, 2025.

The NTSB's final report explicitly states that pilot error (from any aircraft) was the primary cause of the crash.

The NTSB's final report explicitly states that electrical or mechanical failure (whether due to unknown causes or explicitly due to a maintenance error) was the primary cause of the crash.

The final report identifies multiple equal primary causes of the crash.

Other

The NTSB's final report explicitly states that air traffic control error or any other form of air transport support staff error (excluding maintenance of the aircraft) was the primary cause of the crash.

The NTSB's final report explicitly states that an intentional pilot action (suicide, terrorism, etc.) (from any aircraft) was the primary cause of the crash.

The NTSB's final report does not explicitly state that any of the above causes were the primary cause of the crash.

Will the current IDF spokesperson, Daniel Hagari, be nominated for the position of Chief of Staff of the IDF?

Nov 19, 8:16 PMDec 31, 9:59 PM

32.91%chance

5144

OptionVotes

YES

128

of Staff News

Prediction markets for of Staff

Prediction markets for of Staff

Prediction markets for of Staff

How long will Susie Wiles serve as Donald Trump's chief of staff?

Manifold Staffs Stocks

What government positions will Tom Scott (the YouTuber) hold for any length of time in the rest of his life?

How many Chiefs of Staff will serve in Trump's second term?

What government positions will Tim Scott hold for any length of time in the rest of his life?

Evidence of Biden's staff knowledge of his cancer during his presidency before end of 2025

What government positions will Mike Johnson hold for any length of time in the rest of his life?

In what year will over half of us fast food restaurants in the US have less than 2 employees on staff at a time?

If Donald Trump wins the election will he pardon at least one family or staff member before the end of his term?

Will Trump have 3 or more Chiefs of Staff at the White House during his term?

Crash of Learjet 55 - NTSB's determined primary cause

Will the current IDF spokesperson, Daniel Hagari, be nominated for the position of Chief of Staff of the IDF?

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