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Prediction markets for of World

Will Chittagong Bangladesh be declared the most liveable city in the world by the end of 2026?

Jan 1, 5:17 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

1.11%chance

24178356

OptionVotes

YES

NO

94290

1061

What will be the largest company in the world by market cap at the start of 2030

Oct 14, 3:23 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

19993324

OptionProbability

Alphabet

Nvidia

Apple

Microsoft

OpenAI

Anthropic

TSMC

Tesla

Amazon

Other

Strategy₿ (MSTR)

Broadcom

Meta

A company that did not exist at the posting of this question

SpaceX

ASML

Oracle

Saudi Aramco

Tencent

IBM

Baidu

Walmart

Berkshire Hathaway

Intel

Eli Lilly

ByteDance

15

15

12

12

9

7

6

5

4

4

3

3

2

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

T1 wins League of Legends Worlds 2026?

Nov 9, 2:16 PMNov 30, 11:59 PM

30%chance

1091030

OptionVotes

YES

NO

153

65

Will China overtake the United States as the world's largest economy before the end of 2050?

Apr 21, 8:10 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

53.89%chance

9744005

OptionVotes

YES

NO

990

982

Will we have near-complete automation of the world economy before 2035?

Aug 7, 6:58 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

21%chance

8538513

OptionVotes

NO

YES

987

956

Will a previous winner of the World Cup win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Dec 18, 7:29 PMJul 31, 3:59 AM

81%chance

2915491

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1006

988

In twenty years, will the best evidence available suggest that sperm counts have been substantially declining across most of the world?

Feb 17, 4:36 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

57.88%chance

18513568

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2675

2371

What will be the most valuable company in the world at the end of 2030?

Dec 14, 6:47 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

5512989

OptionProbability

Nvidia

Apple

Microsoft

Alphabet (Google)

Other

TSMC

OpenAI

Amazon

Tesla

Anthropic

Strategy (MSTR)

Meta (Facebook)

Saudi Aramco

Berkshire Hathaway

SpaceX

Tencent

ASML

ByteDance

Samsung

Intel

Eli Lilly

22

14

14

13

7

6

4

3

3

3

3

2

1

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

Will Elon Musk be the richest person in the world at the end of 2030?

Jan 4, 11:19 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

48.07%chance

607021

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1164

679

[ACX 2026] Will the winner of the 2026 FIFA World Cup be a country that has never won before?

Jan 6, 10:57 PMJul 19, 11:59 PM

17.32%chance

225699

OptionVotes

NO

YES

5274

3951

Will Mexico still host all of the planned FIFA World Cup games this year?

Feb 25, 3:58 AMJul 20, 10:59 PM

87.09%chance

544094

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10078

9989

Will we have near-complete automation of the world economy before 2030?

Aug 7, 6:58 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

9.1%chance

442875

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1175

946

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