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Prediction markets for of World

Will Chittagong Bangladesh be declared the most liveable city in the world by the end of 2026?

Jan 1, 5:17 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

1%chance

24173148

OptionVotes

YES

NO

99499

1005

What will be the largest company in the world by market cap at the start of 2030

Oct 14, 3:23 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

19791390

OptionProbability

Alphabet

Nvidia

Apple

Microsoft

OpenAI

Anthropic

Tesla

Amazon

Other

Strategy₿ (MSTR)

Broadcom

Meta

TSMC

Oracle

A company that did not exist at the posting of this question

SpaceX

ASML

Saudi Aramco

Tencent

IBM

Baidu

Walmart

Berkshire Hathaway

Intel

Eli Lilly

ByteDance

18

18

12

12

7

6

5

4

4

3

3

2

2

2

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Will China overtake the United States as the world's largest economy before the end of 2050?

Apr 21, 8:10 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

57.82%chance

9543935

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1071

920

Will we have near-complete automation of the world economy before 2035?

Aug 7, 6:58 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

21%chance

8538513

OptionVotes

NO

YES

987

956

Which combinations of technology will cause most disruption the world in the next 25 years?

Feb 18, 5:22 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9415448

OptionProbability

Bitcoin + AI

Energy harvesting + sensor ubiquity

AI + Genetics

Bitcoin + XR

Social media + AI

AI + Internet

AI + Spatial Computing

AI + Medicine

Fintech + AI

AI + Advanced Materials

AI + Bioengineering

AI + Physics

AI + Robotics

3D Printing + Materials Science

BCI + Internet

Mobile Technology + Social Media

AI + IoT

XR + AI

Quantum Computing + Materials Science

AI + VR

AI+Blockchain

AI + Prediction Markets

Wearable Technology + Telemedicine

GPS + Real-time Traffic Data

Haptics + BCI

AI + fossil fuels

Vertical farming + Solar

BCI + Remote sensing

Decentralized IP Verification and Education (Blockchain Credentials)

Nuclear Energy + Transportation

BCI + Dating Apps

Predictive Markets and Constitutional Alignment of AI

41

41

39

38

37

34

34

32

31

31

31

30

28

28

27

25

24

23

23

21

20

20

18

18

17

15

14

14

10

10

5

3

Will a previous winner of the World Cup win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Dec 18, 7:29 PMJul 31, 3:59 AM

80.18%chance

2614851

OptionVotes

YES

NO

998

964

In twenty years, will the best evidence available suggest that sperm counts have been substantially declining across most of the world?

Feb 17, 4:36 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

64%chance

18313303

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3081

2111

What will be the most valuable company in the world at the end of 2030?

Dec 14, 6:47 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

5312507

OptionProbability

Nvidia

Apple

Microsoft

Alphabet (Google)

Other

TSMC

OpenAI

Amazon

Tesla

Strategy (MSTR)

Meta (Facebook)

Anthropic

Saudi Aramco

Berkshire Hathaway

SpaceX

Tencent

ASML

ByteDance

Samsung

Intel

Eli Lilly

22

14

14

13

9

5

4

3

3

3

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

Will ASML remain the world’s only producer of EUV machines until the end of 2026?

Jun 25, 2:58 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

74%chance

4811249

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1687

593

Will Elon Musk be the richest person in the world at the end of 2030?

Jan 4, 11:19 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

48.07%chance

607021

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1164

679

[ACX 2026] Will the winner of the 2026 FIFA World Cup be a country that has never won before?

Jan 6, 10:57 PMJul 19, 11:59 PM

18.42%chance

225645

OptionVotes

NO

YES

5328

3705

Will we have near-complete automation of the world economy before 2030?

Aug 7, 6:58 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

9.1%chance

442875

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1175

946

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