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Prediction markets for of World

What will be the largest company in the world by market cap at the start of 2030

Oct 14, 3:23 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

222114545

OptionProbability

Nvidia

Alphabet

SpaceX

Apple

Microsoft

Anthropic

OpenAI

Amazon

Strategy₿ (MSTR)

Other

Tesla

TSMC

Broadcom

Meta

A company that did not exist at the posting of this question

Samsung

Saudi Aramco

Tencent

IBM

Baidu

Walmart

Berkshire Hathaway

Intel

Eli Lilly

ByteDance

ASML

Oracle

16

14

13

11

10

9

8

3

3

3

2

2

2

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

T1 wins League of Legends Worlds 2026?

Nov 9, 2:16 PMNov 30, 11:59 PM

37.41%chance

1091043

OptionVotes

YES

NO

129

77

Will China overtake the United States as the world's largest economy before the end of 2050?

Apr 21, 8:10 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

65%chance

9945279

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1262

800

Will we have near-complete automation of the world economy before 2035?

Aug 7, 6:58 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

21%chance

8538513

OptionVotes

NO

YES

987

956

Will a previous winner of the World Cup win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Dec 18, 7:29 PMJul 31, 3:59 AM

71%chance

6023280

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1099

643

What will be the most valuable company in the world at the end of 2030?

Dec 14, 6:47 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

6119824

OptionProbability

Nvidia

Alphabet (Google)

Microsoft

Apple

Anthropic

TSMC

SpaceX

OpenAI

Other

Strategy (MSTR)

Amazon

Tesla

Saudi Aramco

Meta (Facebook)

Berkshire Hathaway

Tencent

ByteDance

ASML

Samsung

Intel

Eli Lilly

16

13

12

11

9

8

7

7

5

3

2

2

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

[ACX 2026] Will the winner of the 2026 FIFA World Cup be a country that has never won before?

Jan 6, 10:57 PMJul 19, 11:59 PM

27%chance

6518239

OptionVotes

NO

YES

5697

2418

Will Mexico still host all of the planned FIFA World Cup games this year?

Feb 25, 3:58 AMJul 20, 10:59 PM

92.95%chance

7016402

OptionVotes

NO

YES

17913

9249

In twenty years, will the best evidence available suggest that sperm counts have been substantially declining across most of the world?

Feb 17, 4:36 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

46.24%chance

18814128

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2929

2068

Will Elon Musk be the richest person in the world at the end of 2030?

Jan 4, 11:19 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

48.07%chance

607021

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1164

679

Will we have near-complete automation of the world economy before 2030?

Aug 7, 6:58 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

9.1%chance

442875

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1175

946

Will more than 0.001% of the world population be incarcerated in 2070?

Jan 2, 4:27 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

68.06%chance

12522

OptionVotes

YES

NO

995

989

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