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UK July Borrowing Drops to Three-Year Low of £1.1 Billion
Authors
10
7 months ago
Prediction markets for Office for National Statistics
Will 5% (or less) adults smoke cigarettes in England by the end of 2030?
Jun 17, 6:08 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
12.43%chance
1268673
OptionVotes
2709
1883
Which 2024 Labour Manifesto Commitments will be achieved in this Parliament?
Jun 13, 11:37 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
436389
OptionProbability
100
99
99
88
71
45
33
30
11
OptionProbability
22
22
19
19
6
4
4
4
Will average wages rise faster than average house prices in the UK before the next general election?
Jul 14, 11:42 AMAug 25, 10:59 PM
40.75%chance
11595
OptionVotes
1206
829
If H5N1 achieves global human-to-human spread, will it be a dud?
Jan 2, 4:17 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
41.86%chance
9464
OptionVotes
1179
848
Will large amounts of GTA VI-related time-off requests be reported within two weeks of release?
May 18, 3:55 AMMay 27, 3:51 AM
53.61%chance
7311
OptionVotes
1075
930
Will 10% (or less) adults smoke cigarettes in England by the end of 2030?
Jun 17, 6:11 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
83%chance
8147
OptionVotes
224
119
Will El Salvador's murder rate be below 10 per 100,000 inhabitants in 2030?
Mar 18, 12:28 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
63.98%chance
6131
OptionVotes
157
65
Will the UK revoke citizenship from more than 5,000 naturalised citizens in any single year by EOY2030?
Jul 22, 10:46 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM
34.79%chance
465
OptionVotes
137
73
If the PM after the next UK election is Reform, how many gun deaths in England and Wales over the subsequent 5 years?
Sep 24, 3:43 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM
135
OptionProbability
30
23
12
12
12
12
Will 5% (or less) adults smoke cigarettes in England by the end of 2035?
Jun 17, 6:20 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
41.51%chance
435
OptionVotes
101
81
If the PM after the next UK election is Labour, how many gun deaths in England and Wales over the subsequent 5 years?
Sep 24, 3:41 PMDec 31, 4:26 PM
122
OptionProbability
33
20
12
12
12
12