DeepNewz, mobile.
People-sourced. AI-powered. Unbiased News.
Download on the App Store
Screenshot of DeepNewz app showing story detail view.

Office of the President News

    Prediction markets for Office of the President

    OptionProbability

    He comes to the US and meets the US president in the white house and a picture is released

    He leaves Argentina during his first term

    He travels to Chile during his first term

    He travels to Brazil during his first term

    He is photographed with Elon Musk

    A photo of him with Trump is released

    A photo of Milei with Biden is released

    His sister Karina holds an official public governmental position

    Will he publicly shake hands with Lula?

    Will Elon Musk post Milei's picture, real or meme form, as long as he's clearly identifiable?

    Heritage.org economic freedom score will be at or above the world average [Argentina 51.0, world 59.3 in 2023]

    Argentina will be at 63rd or better place in the good country index [63rd in 2023]

    Argentina will have improved its "corruption perceptions index" ranking [96th]; their score in 2023 was 38, higher score is better

    His salary as president is legislatively raised or lowered

    Argentina will be at or better than its 2023 US news "best country" rating of 39

    Heritage.org economic freedom score will be 60 or above [51 in 2023]

    According to amnesty international, the poverty rate will go down [36.5% in 2022]

    Annualized inflation rate relative to 2023 will be <30%

    There are serious news reports that he is discussing working with Elon Musk on a major project such as a new city, or a Tesla factory, or a rocket base, etc.

    He wins reelection to a 2nd term

    Will Pope Francis or a new Pope visit?

    The Economist data will list GDP person as above 16k USD [13700 in 2023]

    LLM Q2: Will OpenAI's top public LLM at end of term, when asked from the POV of various international media outlets, what average rating will they give him?

    The Economist data will list GDP person as above 16000 USD [13700 in 2023]

    Argentina will have improved its "Sustainable Development Report" of 51st place

    LLM Q1: Will OpenAI's top public LLM at end of his term rate his performance at >50%?

    He travels to Bolivia

    A sitting US President visits Argentina and is photographed with him

    Victoria Villarruel leaves government and does not hold the office of vice president before end of term

    Milei is revealed to not really be a Vegan (or just stops being Vegan)

    He sells land to a non-argentinian individual or corporation with some promises of a level of sovereignty above what is normal

    He leads Argentina to significantly begin cooperation with SpaceX

    Argentina will finish in the top 4 in the 2026 world cup

    Argentina's population increases by more than 1%/year annualized til end of first term [historically, there has been approx 0.6% annual increase in the last 4 years]

    He goes incommunicado for at least a week

    Will the organ trade be legalized? (significantly legalized compared to the rest of S.America suffices)

    Elon says the phrase or something similar, as a slogan or statement, or wears something with "VVLC", "Vive la libertad carajo" in english or spanish

    He marries during his first term

    He significantly changes his hairstyle during his first term

    US Military gains any kind of base for at least 10 active duty military personnel within Argentina

    He is impeached or removed in a process which is retroactively considered legal for at least a week

    There is an assassination attempt resulting in shots fired

    He successfully mediates the border dispute with Chile and completely solves it

    Argentina's population ever decreases year over year during the first term

    He leaves office early from his first term, i.e. not completing the usual 4 years

    Will he ever be TIME person of the year?

    He goes out of office for physical health-related reasons [independent health-related only; assassination, disappearance, quitting, or psychological reasons don't count]

    Argentina will finish in the top 2 in the 2026 world cup

    He successfully dollarizes Argentina [i.e. most people use dollars most of the time]

    The official borders of Argentina change during his term of office

    Argentina accepts some kind of Cryptocurrency for payment of taxes or gov't fees

    The Argentine peso will have been officially deprecated and not in legal use

    He is jailed, emprisoned, or held in state control during what was his original planned term of office

    Argentina will win the 2026 world cup

    He changes the law such that he retains power longer than the usual 4 years without a new election

    He travels to Russia during his first term

    He is in a serious car or motorcycle crash

    Will he abolish the central bank of Argentina?

    He has a child during his first term

    He is excommunicated by the catholic church

    Argentina will declare war

    He gets banned from Twitter [even momentarily]

    He publicly resigns [whether real or coerced]

    He is in a plane (or helicopter) crash

    He passes away during his first term before completion

    There is a military action in the Falklands/Malvinas which results in the death of at least 2 soldiers from any side

    Argentina effectively controls the Falklands/Malvinas or part of them, for at least a week

    He officially converts to Judaism

    Will Argentina join BRICS?

    Will at any time, the US have a travel advisory against Argentina at level 3 or 4 or higher? (level 1 now)

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    91

    88

    86

    84

    84

    83

    72

    71

    63

    57

    56

    55

    50

    48

    48

    45

    45

    41

    40

    38

    36

    34

    30

    30

    29

    28

    27

    26

    26

    26

    25

    23

    23

    21

    20

    19

    17

    15

    13

    11

    11

    8

    7

    7

    6

    6

    6

    5

    4

    4

    4

    4

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    2

    2

    2

    What will Trump do during his second term (2025–2029)?

    Jan 22, 7:24 AMJan 24, 6:46 PM
    26152774

    OptionProbability

    Post a Tweet

    Deny Climate Change

    Promote the product of a supporter from the Oval Office

    Withdraw the US from the Paris Climate Agreement

    Bomb Iran

    Increase US oil production

    Pardon a person convicted of a violent crime against police (e.g. January 6 insurrectionists)

    Appoint a federal judge who is rated NQ (Not Qualified) by the American Bar Association

    Enrich himself & his family financially

    Shake hands with Putin

    Call a national emergency for a non-foreign affairs issue

    Post on Social Media that the DOJ should investigate somebody who is subsequently investigated by the DOJ

    Reverse Biden's executive order on AI

    Start a war

    Play golf

    Visit a golf course more than 10% of the days he spends in office

    Shake hands with Xi Jinping

    Have to have the VP (or someone else) be acting president for any amount of time

    Exercise

    Detain large numbers of legal immigrants as part of a program ostensibly targeting illegal immigrants

    Attend at least one current state leader funeral

    Fire someone he nominated to a government position via social media (“fired by tweet”)

    Threaten a world leader with nuclear attack

    Sign bills with a Sharpie or similar

    Question the effectiveness or safety of vaccines in general

    Appoint a Justice to the Supreme Court

    Suggest his face should be added to mount rushmore

    Visit a golf course more than 20% of the days he spends in office

    Comment Publicly on the Investment Merits of DJT Stock

    Get impeached

    Authorize or explicitly endorse violence against peaceful protesters

    Suppress, censor, or shut down any US news media outlet (including websites)

    Shake hands with Donald Tusk

    Pardon himself

    Have a net approval below -20% at any point

    Withdraw support for Ukraine

    Suggests in a speech or verified written format that Cuba join as a state

    Pardon someone with the last name Trump (excluding himself)

    Trumped-Up Charges: Trump appoints an Attorney General whose office goes on to seek a criminal indictment against ex-President Joseph Biden.

    Leave office early

    Advocate or support a genocide (anywhere in the world)

    Attempt to stay in power for a third term

    Order the US military to attack US citizens on US soil

    End SBA direct lending

    Use the powers of his office to hurt Elon Musk's competitors

    Reference "Situational Awareness"

    Be the subject of a successful invocation of the 25th amendment

    Eat a hamnhrb

    Pass away

    Attempt or claim to seize direct military control of DC via the Insurrection Act, martial law, or similar

    Pardon SBF

    Make America Great Again

    Register with the Federal Election Commission to run for president

    Die

    Order a nuclear strike

    Declassify the existence of non human intelligence.

    Instruct the military to fire on protesters with live bullets, leading to at least one death

    Talk with Kim Jong Un face to face

    Make an executive order with the stated intention of slowing down AI development

    Order the extrajudicial killing of a (named) US citizen on US soil

    Eliminate Daylight Savings Time

    Initiate tariffs that would apply to GPUs from Taiwan

    Ban TikTok

    Withdraw the US from NATO

    Signs a bill that admits a new state to the Union.

    Order the extrajudicial killing of any federal or state elected official

    Completely withdraw United States Forces Korea

    Cry on camera

    Here's Johnny: Trump again appoints John Bolton to an official position in his administration.

    Be in some type of official captivity at any level before the end of the planned term in 2029

    Have over +20 net approval according to 538, at any point

    Direct the killing of a political opponent

    Be removed via the 25th Amendment

    Do another Home Alone cameo

    Buy Greenland

    Sign a bill into law on day one

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    89

    88

    82

    80

    78

    77

    77

    77

    75

    75

    72

    71

    67

    65

    63

    63

    60

    57

    54

    49

    47

    43

    38

    34

    34

    33

    32

    27

    27

    26

    26

    24

    24

    18

    17

    16

    15

    15

    15

    14

    14

    14

    14

    14

    13

    11

    10

    10

    9

    8

    7

    7

    5

    5

    5

    5

    3

    2

    0

    Will the next President of the United States die in office?

    Oct 13, 4:13 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    13.76%chance
    19333776

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    1417

    903

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    3450

    1406

    OptionProbability

    Other

    2027 Jul-Dec

    2026 Jul-Dec

    2027 Jan-Jun

    2030 Jul-Dec

    2028 Jan-Jun

    2028 Jul-Dec

    2030 Jan-Jun

    2029 Jan-Jun

    2029 Jul-Dec

    2026 Jan-Jun

    Before 1.1.2024

    2024 Jan-Jun

    2024 Jul-Dec

    2025 Jan-Jun

    2025 Jul-Dec

    50

    7

    6

    6

    6

    5

    5

    5

    4

    4

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    1544

    848

    OptionProbability

    One Piece has ended

    Putin no longer leader of Russia

    Hasanabi retires from livestreaming

    a tenth country is confirmed to have nuclear weapons

    China-Taiwan conflict fully starts

    MikeFromPA retires from livestreaming

    Ukraine-Russia conflict is resolved

    1500 or more official pokemon

    Vaush retires from livestreaming

    August retires / fired / is replaced as lead editor

    Destiny dies

    He gets married again

    pickleball in the olympics

    ukraine joins nato

    Plays Rust on stream again

    Human walks on the Moon again

    Human walks on Mars

    He has another child (or adopts one)

    Streams on Twitch again

    Chat GPT 8 has released

    American elects its 50th president (with Biden being #46, no Cleveland-conscious counting)

    Talks to a retired president

    Playstation 7 has released

    Bitcoin reaches $200K at least one time

    Talks to a sitting president while they are serving in office

    Someone has reached 2900 FIDE chess rating

    Israel-Palestine conflict is resolved

    Filibuster is abolished

    91

    90

    90

    89

    87

    87

    86

    84

    82

    69

    56

    54

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    48

    46

    41

    41

    41

    38

    34

    34

    31

    27

    26

    OptionProbability

    23rd (Grants the District of Columbia electors in the Electoral College.)

    22nd (Limits the number of times a person can be elected president.)

    11th (Makes states immune from suits from out-of-state citizens and foreigners not living within the state borders; lays the foundation for state sovereign immunity.)

    26th (Prohibits the denial of the right of US citizens 18 years of age or older, to vote on account of age.)

    20th (Changes dates on which terms of president and VP, and of members of Congress, begin and end, to January 20 and January 3 respectively. States that if president-elect dies before taking office, VP–elect is to be inaugurated president)

    25th (Addresses succession to the presidency and establishes procedures both for filling a vacancy in the office of the vice president and responding to presidential disabilities.)

    27th (Delays laws affecting Congressional salary from taking effect until after the next election of representatives.)

    6th (Protects the right to a speedy public trial by jury, to notification of criminal accusations, to confront the accuser, to obtain witnesses and to retain counsel.)

    12th (Revises presidential election procedures by having the president and vice president elected together as opposed to the vice president being the runner up in the presidential election.)

    3rd (Restricts the quartering of soldiers in private homes.)

    5th (Sets out rules for indictment by grand jury and eminent domain, protects the right to due process, and prohibits self-incrimination and double jeopardy.)

    15th (Prohibits the denial of the right to vote based on race, color or previous condition of servitude.)

    24th (Prohibits the revocation of voting rights due to the non-payment of a poll tax or any other tax.)

    1st (Protects freedom of religion, freedom of speech, freedom of the press, freedom of assembly and the right to petition the government.)

    4th (Prohibits unreasonable searches and seizures and sets out requirements for search warrants based on probable cause.)

    7th (Provides for the right to a jury trial in civil lawsuits.)

    8th (Prohibits excessive fines and excessive bail, as well as cruel and unusual punishment.)

    9th (States that rights not enumerated in the Constitution are retained by the people.)

    10th (States that the federal government possesses only those powers delegated, or enumerated, to it through the Constitution, and that all other powers are reserved to the States, or to the people.)

    13th (Abolishes slavery and involuntary servitude, except as punishment for a crime.)

    17th (Establishes the direct election of United States senators by popular vote.)

    21st (Repeals the 18th Amendment and makes it a federal offense to transport or import intoxicating liquors into U.S. states and territories where such is prohibited by law.)

    2nd (Protects the right to keep and bear arms.)

    14th (Defines citizenship, contains the Privileges or Immunities Clause, the Due Process Clause, and the Equal Protection Clause, and deals with post–Civil War issues.)

    16th (Permits Congress to levy an income tax without apportioning it among the various states or basing it on the United States Census.)

    19th (Prohibits the denial of the right to vote based on sex.)

    26

    21

    19

    19

    18

    18

    18

    17

    17

    15

    14

    13

    12

    6

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    3

    2

    1

    1

    Will a president of the USA die while in office before the end of 2050

    Jun 24, 5:44 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
    58.48%chance
    171411

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    1187

    843

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    577

    214

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    157

    86

Latest stories