Official News

What will be the official cause(s) of the Air India Flight 171 crash?

Jun 13, 6:55 AMJun 30, 6:43 AM

17984332

OptionProbability

Pilot Action: Pilot action was a primary cause of the crash.

Design/Manufacturing Defect: A Boeing design or manufacturing defect was a primary cause of the crash.

Maintenance/Fueling Lapse: An Air India maintenance or fueling lapse was a primary cause of the crash.

[ACX 2026] How many of these 15 top US executive branch officials will be out before 2027?

Jan 7, 12:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2545572

OptionProbability

6 - 7

8 - 9

10 - 11

12 - 15

Will Vivek Ramaswamy Hold an Official Position in Trump’s White House?

Dec 27, 8:23 AMJan 21, 7:59 AM

9.46%chance

18242842

OptionVotes

YES

7423

1007

If Dems win the House or Senate in 2026, will officials try to block a working Democratic majority from being seated?

Sep 23, 6:08 AMJan 3, 11:59 PM

15.73%chance

16740693

OptionVotes

YES

24642

5236

Will Polymarket launch its official token in 2026?

May 13, 3:39 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10.15%chance

4317645

OptionVotes

YES

17796

1917

Will RFK Jr. have an official role in the Trump Administration at the start of 2027?

Mar 27, 4:01 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM

77.45%chance

3112795

OptionVotes

YES

10310

8852

What will be the first metal Trump officially requests for Project Vault?

May 21, 6:20 PMDec 31, 6:37 PM

94872

OptionProbability

Gallium

Neodymium

Germanium

Antimony

Dysprosium

Terbium

Yttrium

Tantalum

Rhenium

Indium

Tellurium

Samarium

Silver

Will there be 1300 or more official Pokemon creatures on January 1st 2030?

Nov 28, 2:15 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

34.81%chance

422786

OptionVotes

YES

3075

872

Will Danny Devito play Wario in any official Nintendo movie before the end of 2029?

May 15, 6:45 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

20.22%chance

262252

OptionVotes

YES

3445

1305

Will Pickleball be an official Olympic event before the first female president of the United States ?

Dec 26, 3:45 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

28.77%chance

472035

OptionVotes

YES

2495

1676

Will the Swedish Transport Workers' Union (Transportarbetareförbundet) officially oppose self driving vehicles?

Apr 18, 1:53 PMJan 1, 2:47 PM

42.2%chance

3307

OptionVotes

YES

1270

954

When will Raspberry Pi officially announce the Raspberry Pi Zero 3 W?

Oct 28, 12:06 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

OptionProbability

Oct-Dec 2026

Jan-Mar 2027

Apr-Jun 2027

Jul-Sep 2027

Oct-Dec 2027

After Dec 2027

Official News

Prediction markets for Official

Prediction markets for Official

Prediction markets for Official

What will be the official cause(s) of the Air India Flight 171 crash?

[ACX 2026] How many of these 15 top US executive branch officials will be out before 2027?

Will Vivek Ramaswamy Hold an Official Position in Trump’s White House?

If Dems win the House or Senate in 2026, will officials try to block a working Democratic majority from being seated?

Will Polymarket launch its official token in 2026?

Will RFK Jr. have an official role in the Trump Administration at the start of 2027?

What will be the first metal Trump officially requests for Project Vault?

Will there be 1300 or more official Pokemon creatures on January 1st 2030?

Will Danny Devito play Wario in any official Nintendo movie before the end of 2029?

Will Pickleball be an official Olympic event before the first female president of the United States ?

Will the Swedish Transport Workers' Union (Transportarbetareförbundet) officially oppose self driving vehicles?

When will Raspberry Pi officially announce the Raspberry Pi Zero 3 W?

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