Official News

What will be the official cause(s) of the Air India Flight 171 crash?

Jun 13, 6:55 AMJun 30, 6:43 AM

17984322

OptionProbability

Pilot Action: Pilot action was a primary cause of the crash.

Design/Manufacturing Defect: A Boeing design or manufacturing defect was a primary cause of the crash.

Maintenance/Fueling Lapse: An Air India maintenance or fueling lapse was a primary cause of the crash.

Will Vivek Ramaswamy Hold an Official Position in Trump’s White House?

Dec 27, 8:23 AMJan 21, 7:59 AM

9.72%chance

17742411

OptionVotes

YES

7301

1020

[ACX 2026] How many of these 15 top US executive branch officials will be out before 2027?

Jan 7, 12:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2333825

OptionProbability

6 - 7

8 - 9

10 - 11

12 - 15

Will Brazil or Argentina officially approve a common currency before 2030?

Jan 23, 12:44 AMJan 2, 2:59 AM

9.68%chance

5322184

OptionVotes

YES

3438

1019

Will RFK Jr. have an official role in the Trump Administration at the start of 2027?

Mar 27, 4:01 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM

76.69%chance

3112495

OptionVotes

YES

10399

8552

Will Polymarket launch its official token in 2026?

May 13, 3:39 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15.61%chance

4011304

OptionVotes

YES

13991

2467

What will be the first metal Trump officially requests for Project Vault?

May 21, 6:20 PMDec 31, 6:37 PM

84871

OptionProbability

Gallium

Neodymium

Germanium

Antimony

Dysprosium

Terbium

Yttrium

Tantalum

Rhenium

Indium

Tellurium

Samarium

Silver

If Democrats win the House or Senate in 2026, will officials try to block Democratic winners from being seated?

Sep 23, 6:08 AMJan 3, 11:59 PM

39.36%chance

283257

OptionVotes

YES

6347

5226

Will Danny Devito play Wario in any official Nintendo movie before the end of 2029?

May 15, 6:45 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

20.22%chance

262252

OptionVotes

YES

3445

1305

Will Pickleball be an official Olympic event before the first female president of the United States ?

Dec 26, 3:45 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

28.77%chance

472035

OptionVotes

YES

2495

1676

Will there be 1300 or more official Pokemon creatures on January 1st 2030?

Nov 28, 2:15 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

60.96%chance

401641

OptionVotes

YES

2120

1757

Will the Swedish Transport Workers' Union (Transportarbetareförbundet) officially oppose self driving vehicles?

Apr 18, 1:53 PMJan 1, 2:47 PM

42.2%chance

3307

OptionVotes

YES

1270

954

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What will be the official cause(s) of the Air India Flight 171 crash?

Will Vivek Ramaswamy Hold an Official Position in Trump’s White House?

[ACX 2026] How many of these 15 top US executive branch officials will be out before 2027?

Will Brazil or Argentina officially approve a common currency before 2030?

Will RFK Jr. have an official role in the Trump Administration at the start of 2027?

Will Polymarket launch its official token in 2026?

What will be the first metal Trump officially requests for Project Vault?

If Democrats win the House or Senate in 2026, will officials try to block Democratic winners from being seated?

Will Danny Devito play Wario in any official Nintendo movie before the end of 2029?

Will Pickleball be an official Olympic event before the first female president of the United States ?

Will there be 1300 or more official Pokemon creatures on January 1st 2030?

Will the Swedish Transport Workers' Union (Transportarbetareförbundet) officially oppose self driving vehicles?

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