Offline News

DGG Offline Chat Stock [permanent]

Dec 31, 1:03 AMAug 11, 9:43 PM

213245

OptionProbability

YES

413

308

Will we see an increased premium put on offline socialization by the end of 2027?

Dec 27, 6:13 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

37%chance

642960

OptionVotes

YES

1537

895

Which of these products will be available to consumers LAST? (Add answers!)

Feb 19, 2:13 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

452211

OptionProbability

nuclear powered transportation vehicle

PC with quantum computing capability

CPU with stock frequency 8GHz or above

Betavoltaic battery (Nuclear battery)

Neuralink-like implant (brain-computer-interface)

Solid State Battery EV

3.5/2.5 inch or M.2 form factor HDD or SSD with at least 1PB (petabyte) capacity

Grand Theft Auto 7

CPU with 200 or more physical cores

Fully offline LLM with performance exceeding the best existing GPT-4 variant

Smart phone WITHOUT a charging port (no charging or wireless charging only)

Will relatively "offline" societies show signs of out-competing "online" societies by the end of 2027?

Dec 27, 6:26 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

50%chance

462069

OptionVotes

YES

1085

885

Will pop-up shops become the dominant hub of offline commerce by 2026?

Jan 28, 4:27 AMFeb 4, 4:59 AM

7.41%chance

11910

OptionVotes

YES

1800

877

In what year will the Fortnite servers be taken offline?

Jun 21, 7:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5792

OptionProbability

Other

2029

2028

2027

2026

Will we see an increased premium put on siloed/private online socialization by the end of 2027?

Dec 27, 6:10 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

63.64%chance

26690

OptionVotes

YES

1025

925

Why is Claude 3.5 Sonnet such a good model for its size?

Jul 11, 8:22 AMJul 19, 6:59 AM

8547

OptionProbability

Pretraining data composition

Doesn't use any scale.ai training data

Offline policy learning RLHf

Task vectors like golden gate Claude

Will AI be in used in a cellular wireless (5G, 6G) physical layer before 2027?

Jan 26, 9:50 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

46.68%chance

16287

OptionVotes

YES

1101

862

Offline treadmill outperforms me on coding tasks by 2040?

Jul 11, 5:52 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

78.52%chance

6175

OptionVotes

YES

191

Will I find a way to archive Mojang's JIRA/Atlassian instance before it goes down? (Please make suggestions.)

Jun 19, 12:59 AMJan 2, 1:55 AM

50.75%chance

225

OptionVotes

YES

1015

985

M300 per recommended Song that makes it into my Offline Music Playlist.

Jan 2, 3:10 AM

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Prediction markets for Offline

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DGG Offline Chat Stock [permanent]

Will we see an increased premium put on offline socialization by the end of 2027?

Which of these products will be available to consumers LAST? (Add answers!)

Will relatively "offline" societies show signs of out-competing "online" societies by the end of 2027?

Will pop-up shops become the dominant hub of offline commerce by 2026?

In what year will the Fortnite servers be taken offline?

Will we see an increased premium put on siloed/private online socialization by the end of 2027?

Why is Claude 3.5 Sonnet such a good model for its size?

Will AI be in used in a cellular wireless (5G, 6G) physical layer before 2027?

Offline treadmill outperforms me on coding tasks by 2040?

Will I find a way to archive Mojang's JIRA/Atlassian instance before it goes down? (Please make suggestions.)

M300 per recommended Song that makes it into my Offline Music Playlist.

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