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Prediction markets for Oi

Will the price of oil reach $150 before the end of 2026?

Oct 29, 6:28 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

9.5%chance

15753577

OptionVotes

YES

NO

14959

2496

Oil $150 before GTA VI

Mar 21, 7:16 AMMar 21, 7:16 AM

15.23%chance

207545

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2359

424

Will the world reach peak oil production before 2030?

Jan 23, 4:19 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

72.58%chance

414440

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1113

941

Will global peak oil production occur before 2031?

Jan 17, 1:38 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

74.87%chance

362514

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1040

956

Will oil be drilled for in the field of the Antarctic Weddell Sea region before 2030?

Jul 13, 5:43 PMJan 2, 10:59 PM

18.94%chance

12150

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2069

483

Global peak oil consumption will be reached before the end of 2030.

Aug 1, 6:38 AMDec 31, 5:59 AM

73.35%chance

241720

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1033

833

Will Saudi Arabia adopt the Chinese Yuan for trading oil by 2030?

Jul 2, 4:33 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

19.95%chance

141242

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2003

499

Will oil demand plunge by 30% over the next 5 years?

Jan 21, 11:24 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

13.46%chance

221056

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1640

851

Will global peak oil production occur before 2027?

Jan 7, 4:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

17.61%chance

8948

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1642

793

Will less than 2% of humanity's electricity production come from oil before 2030?

Sep 17, 2:30 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

85.44%chance

17703

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1336

906

Will Guyana suffer from the oil curse by 2035?

Jun 19, 11:54 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

30.26%chance

18572

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1244

830

Will the U.S. or Israel be at war with Iran at any point during the year in which global peak oil is reached?

May 10, 2:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

Yes, Israel

Yes, Both U.S. and Israel

No, and the year is before 2030

Peak oil occurs 2030 or later

25

25

25

25

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