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Top stories

Adrien Rabiot Excluded From Olympique de Marseille After Altercation; Rowe Leaves, De Zerbi Hopes for Return, Tottenham Interested

Adrien Rabiot Excluded From Olympique de Marseille After Altercation; Rowe Leaves, De Zerbi Hopes for Return, Tottenham Interested

Authors

8

9 months ago

Prediction markets for OM

Will Omar Aboutaleb (0mar) hit Candidate Master before June 12

Apr 13, 5:18 AMJun 15, 11:59 PM

40%chance

555689

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1225

816

OmniZherka vs BurkaZherka (permanent)

Apr 9, 11:30 PMJan 1, 9:59 PM

46%chance

191487

OptionVotes

YES

NO

307

101

Will OMIE Spain 2028 annual average wholesale price exceed €65/MWh?

May 4, 8:35 PMMay 31, 11:00 PM

45.46%chance

2751

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10751

9328

Before 2027, will a frontier AI model achieve an AA-Omniscience hallucination rate below 5%?

Nov 23, 10:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

32.23%chance

3450

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1450

690

Will omega-6 be listed separately on food labels in the US by 2030?

Oct 28, 1:18 AMDec 31, 5:59 AM

41%chance

3224

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1200

834

Will "Omniscaling to MNIST" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Mar 27, 7:36 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

11.59%chance

2205

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1205

970

Will "Omelas Is Perfectly Misread" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Oct 3, 10:21 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

16.39%chance

4149

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1026

852

Omnicide

Nov 13, 3:22 PMAug 11, 9:43 PM

7140

OptionProbability

YES

NO

180

129

Will latch.bio, retro.bio, mox, or lighthaven get a libernovo Omni dynamic ergonomic chair by eoy2031

Nov 9, 12:08 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

30.77%chance

150

OptionVotes

YES

NO

150

67

Will the new EU omnibus be passed by the European Parliament?

Jun 12, 5:14 PMDec 31, 6:12 PM

59.02%chance

240

OptionVotes

NO

YES

120

83

If Trump is elected in 2024, will omega-6 be listed on US food labels by 2030?

Oct 28, 1:23 AMDec 31, 5:59 AM

39.02%chance

125

OptionVotes

YES

NO

125

80

Will OMIE Spain 2027 annual average wholesale price exceed €60/MWh?

May 4, 8:35 PMMay 31, 11:00 PM

55.99%chance

11

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10001

9999

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