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Prediction markets for ONE

Will we have at least one more AI winter before AGI is realized?

Jan 24, 12:51 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

24%chance

24299057

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1835

535

Will there be a unicorn founded and operated by just one person by 2030?

Feb 2, 2:06 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

38%chance

18689109

OptionVotes

NO

YES

11958

4561

"One Battle After Another" wins Best Picture?

Oct 4, 12:37 AMMar 14, 10:59 PM

71.01%chance

5753455

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10742

6885

Will Joe Biden live to see Luffy find the One Piece?

Feb 13, 7:58 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

17.8%chance

18649182

OptionVotes

YES

NO

18956

8175

Will Russia launch an invasion against at least one of the Baltic states by February 2029?

Nov 6, 4:14 PMFeb 3, 7:59 AM

20.63%chance

7944509

OptionVotes

YES

NO

11563

6673

Alcatraz holds ten federal inmates for one week before January 20, 2029?

May 4, 11:58 PMJan 19, 11:59 PM

8.33%chance

11441549

OptionVotes

YES

NO

33195

3018

Will there be a one-person unicorn by 2030?

Feb 6, 10:41 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

38%chance

8113448

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1183

349

Will there be at least one major U.S. blackout caused by a cyberattack by 2027?

Apr 28, 9:40 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

19%chance

2813301

OptionVotes

YES

NO

20647

4843

Will Huawei ship at least one million 910C chips in 2026?

Dec 12, 3:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

41%chance

228785

OptionVotes

YES

NO

11996

8336

Will Waymo One expand its SF Bay Area service area to Marin County by December 31, 2026?

Jan 3, 9:53 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM

66.08%chance

637720

OptionVotes

NO

YES

13928

7195

What range will Polymarket token FDV fall in one week after launch?

Jan 29, 1:58 AMJan 2, 1:00 AM

45073

OptionProbability

Over $8B

$4B-$6B

$2B-$4B

$6B-$8B

Under $2B

N/A

51

14

10

10

8

8

By the end of 2035, will any country score 95/9.5 or higher on one of the two major economic freedom indexes?

Mar 31, 7:04 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

28.8%chance

11360

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10122

9934

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