Open Dollar News

In what year will artificial intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem?

Jun 20, 4:02 AMJan 1, 5:00 PM

6015910

OptionProbability

2025-2029

2030-2034

2035-2039

2040-2044

2045-2050

What will happen relating to Iran before April 1, 2026?

Jan 13, 4:09 PMMar 31, 10:59 PM

616666

OptionProbability

Significant protests are reported in February and March

The US launches airstrikes

Israel and Iran go to war again

Iran strikes Israel with missiles

Iran strikes US bases

The US launches airstrikes on three different days

The rial loses 1/3 the value it had on January 1, 2026 (unofficially / on the black market)

Iran strikes US bases and kills at least one American

Ayatollah Khamenei is removed from power

The Strait of Hormuz is mined or otherwise closed

US ground troops enter Iran

What will happen to Hugging Face?

Feb 22, 8:19 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

764893

OptionProbability

Acquisition (for >$4.5bn)

IPO

None of the above before 2029

Bankruptcy, collapse or acquisition for <$4.5bn

2030 – 1. Nvidia’s market capitalization will be meaningfully lower + Intel’s will be meaningfully higher, than today

Mar 11, 12:04 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

16.43%chance

233162

OptionVotes

YES

1875

705

If Russia does NOT annex Ukraine before 2024, will Ukraine's 2030 real GDP be over 180bn USD (in 2020 US dollars)?

Feb 23, 8:47 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

29.16%chance

231866

OptionVotes

YES

1129

920

What is the next speculative bubble to happen no longer than December 2029?

Jul 29, 9:45 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

13948

OptionProbability

Other bubble

NO BUBBLE

Virtual reality/artificial reality

Crypto

U.S. Real Estate

Green commodities (copper, lithium, nickel...)

Oil and fossil fuels

Space exploration

Other G7 Real Estate

Nuclear energy

India

Mexico

China

Ukraine

Russia

Superconductors

Biotech

Weight-loss drugs

Self-driving cars

EVs and batteries

United States

Japan

Europe

South America

Southeast Asia

Carbon capture

Emerging market Real Estate

Defense

Everything bubble

Will the Bilt Mastercard Remain Stable Through 2030?

Jun 18, 4:09 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

28.78%chance

10860

OptionVotes

YES

1646

665

Will Open AI hit 750+ Billion Dollar Evaluation Before March 31st, 2026?

Jan 14, 5:43 PMMar 30, 11:59 PM

81.49%chance

10367

OptionVotes

YES

226

Will Android be Open source (truly, properly) before 2028?

Dec 18, 5:29 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

8.36%chance

14353

OptionVotes

YES

483

130

Real-world world applications of large cardinals by 2100

Jan 2, 5:29 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

23.58%chance

140

OptionVotes

YES

110

Help Al Quinn find good movies (because nearly everything is terrible) 12K Mana Bounty!

Mar 9, 8:51 PM

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Prediction markets for Open Dollar

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In what year will artificial intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem?

What will happen relating to Iran before April 1, 2026?

What will happen to Hugging Face?

2030 – 1. Nvidia’s market capitalization will be meaningfully lower + Intel’s will be meaningfully higher, than today

If Russia does NOT annex Ukraine before 2024, will Ukraine's 2030 real GDP be over 180bn USD (in 2020 US dollars)?

What is the next speculative bubble to happen no longer than December 2029?

Will the Bilt Mastercard Remain Stable Through 2030?

Will Open AI hit 750+ Billion Dollar Evaluation Before March 31st, 2026?

Will Android be Open source (truly, properly) before 2028?

Real-world world applications of large cardinals by 2100

Help Al Quinn find good movies (because nearly everything is terrible) 12K Mana Bounty!

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