Open Society News

Investigation Alleges Zohran Mamdani’s NYC Mayoral Campaign Fueled by $2 Billion Syndicate, $4.5 Billion Soros Funds, Dual Citizenship

1 year ago

Should we hire you? [Job-finding market]

Aug 3, 4:44 PMDec 30, 4:14 PM

6151768

OptionProbability

Dummy answer required due to Manifold's multiple-choice market design, will resolve N/A

Pat Scott @Stralor

@retr0id

@8my41

@vi

@Bandors

@Quroe

@Eternal

@Cy

@astroblob

@zhengkyl

@AlirezaAfshan

@Celene

@AtharvPatil

Will Balaji's Network School announce a shutdown or relocation away from Malaysia before the end of 2028?

Jul 16, 8:15 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

96.1%chance

44220

OptionVotes

YES

4962

202

Who else will be indicted by the federal government before Trump leaves office? [ADD ANSWERS]

Sep 26, 6:49 PMJan 22, 5:59 AM

102512

OptionProbability

John Bolton

Letitia James

Fani Willis

Any sitting Democratic elected official

Lisa Cook

Adam Schiff

Jack Smith

Anyone additional for their role in the Jeffrey Epstein case

Tim Walz

Kevin Warsh

George Soros / anyone in Open Societies Foundation leadership

Jerome Powell

Anyone pardoned by Joe Biden

Liz Cheney

Hunter Biden

Anyone in the Obama family

100

Will George Soros live to see the 2029 US presidential inauguration?

Mar 23, 3:54 AMJan 20, 12:00 PM

56.11%chance

42460

OptionVotes

YES

1131

884

By 2028, there will exist an obvious place where digital nomads can earn a living by producing alignment data for AI.

Feb 17, 10:51 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

19.5%chance

121396

OptionVotes

YES

2032

492

Do humans have free will?

Aug 19, 8:03 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21.01%chance

361006

OptionVotes

YES

1449

832

Will the Twin prime Conjecture be proven before 2030?

Jun 19, 12:54 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

23.63%chance

8270

OptionVotes

YES

180

Real-world world applications of large cardinals by 2100

Jan 2, 5:29 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

23.58%chance

140

OptionVotes

YES

110

Open Society News

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Prediction markets for Open Society

Prediction markets for Open Society

Prediction markets for Open Society

Should we hire you? [Job-finding market]

Will Balaji's Network School announce a shutdown or relocation away from Malaysia before the end of 2028?

Who else will be indicted by the federal government before Trump leaves office? [ADD ANSWERS]

Will George Soros live to see the 2029 US presidential inauguration?

By 2028, there will exist an obvious place where digital nomads can earn a living by producing alignment data for AI.

Do humans have free will?

Will the Twin prime Conjecture be proven before 2030?

Real-world world applications of large cardinals by 2100

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