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Top stories

UK Government Absorbs Space Agency Into Science Department to Cut Costs

Authors

5

4 months ago

Prediction markets for Open University

Is establishing a truth economy that produces more than 50% of the global GDP before AI fooms critical to survival?

May 18, 4:27 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

39.58%chance

7634311

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1236

809

Will we find that the dark forest theory of the universe is true?

Mar 25, 3:20 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5.32%chance

1420948

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1438

927

Will Riot Games release their MMORPG fully or in open beta before the end of 2025?

Oct 21, 5:31 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

1.49%chance

2510527

OptionVotes

YES

NO

9720

328

If any UFOs are highly advanced technology, are they of non-human origin?

Sep 22, 5:37 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

13.02%chance

318436

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1072

965

Has at least one alien been to Earth?

May 30, 4:26 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

18.16%chance

343827

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1206

926

Is Max Tegmark's mathematical universe hypothesis correct?

May 28, 9:50 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

20.16%chance

362883

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1423

839

Will there be an Antimemetics Division show/movie by late 2029?

Sep 20, 6:54 PMSep 20, 8:59 PM

21.62%chance

211641

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1904

525

Will an AI achieve a perfect score on the Miklós Schweitzer Competition before 2035?

Apr 1, 2:20 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

80.77%chance

141387

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1770

666

Will an AI achieve a perfect score on the Miklós Schweitzer Competition before 2028?

Apr 1, 2:00 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

37.75%chance

141061

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1094

154

Will the civilian death rate from Israeli airstrikes be 60% or higher at the conclusion of the current Palestine war?

Dec 10, 12:20 AMJul 1, 3:59 AM

91%chance

12525

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1265

942

Will Universal Studios Great Britain open before 2030?

Feb 5, 5:59 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

13.53%chance

5206

OptionVotes

YES

NO

355

114

Which of these franchises will be present at Universal Studios Great Britain at opening?

Apr 10, 8:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4122

OptionProbability

James Bond

Lord of the Rings

Back to the Future

Paddington

Harry Potter

52

50

50

50

44

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