OpenAI Developers News

The case will settle out of court

The New York Times will win the lawsuit

OpenAI will win the lawsuit

YES

YES

NO

YES

YES

YES

Runs entirely on silicon-based non-quantum machines

The existence of the AGI and the model name were leaked prior to release and official announcement

Developed by a US company

Trained with synthetic data and self-play

Doomsday clock moved at least one full minute closer to midnight due to this AI

Transformer based or mix of Transformer and other architectures

Has an internal World Model able to simulate basic physics without external tools

Not available in EU countries initially for the first 4 months after public release

Based on/inspired by algorithms from the human brain (beyond neural networks).

Public announcement was made after 1 year or more of finishing training

Solves at least one of the seven Millennium Problems

Not a static model; weights change during inference

Used by a Figure humanoid robot

Infinite context window

Based on/inspired by OpenAI's Sora (resolves YES if explicitly stated by developers in announcement or paper)

This market will resolve N/A

Is OpenAI's GPT-6, whatever name or architecture it has

No consensus that it's AGI until over a month after being announced and interacting with people outside the lab.

Developed by a Chinese company

Open sourced

Developed by the open-source community instead of a company

Developed by an EU company

Transformer-based architecture

Developed by OpenAI

Part of the GPT-N family of models (GPT-5, GPT-6, and variations)

Developed by Google Deepmind

Over 1T parameters

Part of the AlphaProof family of models (AlphaProof N and variations)

Narrow domain of knowledge. ie Does not know random facts such as when Google was founded, or who won the 1960 presidential election.

Developed by a non-British and non-American company

Part of the o1 family of models (o1, o2, etc. and variations)

Based on Symbolic AI (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Symbolic_artificial_intelligence)

Over 1T parameters

Transformer-based architecture

Part of the AlphaProof family of models (AlphaProof N and variations)

Developed by OpenAI

Developed by Google Deepmind

Part of the o1 family of models (o1, o2, etc. and variations)

Developed by a non-British and non-American company

Narrow domain of knowledge. ie Does not know random facts such as when Google was founded, or who won the 1960 presidential election.

Part of the GPT-N family of models (GPT-5, GPT-6, and variations)

Energy-based Model (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Energy-based_model)

YES

NO